Wolves vs. Liverpool Monday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Bounceback Time for Reds (March 15)

Wolves vs. Liverpool Monday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Bounceback Time for Reds (March 15) article feature image
Credit:

Peter Zador/DeFodi Images via Getty Images. Pictured: Liverpool teammates Sadio Mané and Fabinho celebrate a goal.

  • Wolves welcome Liverpool to Molineux Stadium for Monday's Premier League affair.
  • The Reds, who have lost six of their last seven league matches, are coming off an impressive victory over RB Leipzig in last week's Champions League play.
  • Jeremy Pond details why he thinks Liverpool will carry that momentum into this contest below.

Wolves vs. Liverpool Odds

Wolves Odds +400
Liverpool Odds -139
Draw +280
Over/Under 2.5 (-104 / -121) 
Day | Time Monday | 4 p.m. ET
TV NBCSN
Odds as of Sunday morning and via DraftKings.

Things could get interesting in Premier League action Monday when Wolves welcome Liverpool to Molineux Stadium for a crucial showdown.

Wolverhampton, which enters this match winless in its last three games, settled for a scoreless draw last time out against Aston Villa. Wolves have been lingering mid-pack in the table much of the season, and currently find themselves parked in 13th place on 35 points.

On the other side, the Reds have been abysmal on the domestic front. Shockingly, they’ve lost six of their last seven league contests and have plummeted all the way down to eighth place on 43 points.

However, Liverpool continued its stellar play in Champions League action last week, cruising to a 2-0 victory over German power RB Leipzig to reach the quarterfinal round of the European showcase.

Let’s take a look at these clubs and see what could be on deck.

Wolves

Wolverhampton would love to continue Liverpool’s league misery with a home victory. Unfortunately, the host has not been itself since back-to-back wins against Southampton and Leeds, settling for a loss and two draws leading up to this fixture.

Yes, I’m fully aware Wolves have only lost once in their last seven league tilts, but the offense has been utterly stagnant during that stretch. Wolverhampton has not scored a first-half goal in its last six league games, which should be a major cause for concern with Liverpool making the visit to Molineux.

Pedro Neto and Rúben Neves lead Wolves’ offensive attack, each with five goals on the season. The pair has to get things going quickly against the Reds, who will surely come out pressing forward in hopes of grabbing an early lead.

Statistically, Wolverhampton has the kind of numbers you’d expected from a middle-of-the-pack side when it comes to the advanced metrics. Wolves sit on 29.2 expected goals and a 32.7 xGA, resulting in a subpar -3.5 xGDiff and flat -0.13 xGDiff/90 minutes.

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Liverpool

So, which Liverpool are we going to see on Wolves’ soil?

Is the side that dropped a 1-0 decision to lowly Fulham at Anfield going to rear its ugly head again, or will the one that steamrolled RB Leipzig in both of its UCL matches show up?

My feeling is the latter, largely due to the fact that landing a spot in next season’s Champions League has become the absolute lone goal for the Reds. Liverpool looked fantastic in that midweek win against its Bundesliga foe, picking up goals from Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mané midway through the second half to help punch its ticket to the final eight of the competition.

When comparing numbers with Wolverhampton, Liverpool is far and away the better side in all major categories. The Reds boast a sizzling 50.7 xG and 34.8 xGA, generating a stellar+15.9 xGDiff and +0.57 xGDiff/90 minutes.

Despite its woes, Liverpool is still among the league’s best in the stats. The club is second in xG, trailing only league leader Manchester City (58.2 xG), and sits third overall in xGDiff out of 20 teams.


Betting Analysis & Picks

Obviously, Liverpool has been god-awful in its league fixtures as of late. And that shoddy play has cost the Reds a chance at defending their crown and, potentially, missing out on an automatic Champions League berth.

However, Jürgen Klopp’s men looked fantastic in the triumph over RB Leipzig and I believe this is the perfect league get-right spot for them.

That said, I am backing Liverpool to get the job done away from Anfield as my top play. The Reds have won their last four meetings with Wolves across all competitions, so I anticipate they’ll make it five in a row in this confrontation.

Pick: Liverpool ML (-139)

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