Newcastle United (9-7-5) visits Wolverhampton Wanderers (1-16-4) this Sunday at 9:00 a.m. EST at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, England.
While one team fights for a spot in Europe and the other scraps for survival, recent results for both clubs suggest this Premier League game could be more competitive than the standings show.
Newcastle is favored at a -140 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-155o / +115u) goals.
Let's get into my Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton prediction.
Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton Prediction
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
My Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton best bet is for there to be Over 2.5 total goals in this match.
Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton Odds
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -150 | 2.5 -155o / 115u | -140 |
| Wolverhampton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +105 | 2.5 -155o / 115u | +340 |
Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton Picks
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-149)
Lean: Newcastle Moneyline (-139)
While Newcastle enters this contest as the clear favorite, the value lies in the goals market.
Wolves, despite their place at the bottom of the table, have discovered a much-needed offensive spark. The club is unbeaten in its last three Premier League contests, with one win and two draws, and has scored five goals over that stretch.
That total matches their output from the previous 11 games combined. This recent surge proves they can contribute to the score sheet, even against superior opponents.
For Newcastle, a three-game winning streak in the league has them positioned just three points outside the top four. Eddie Howe’s team has demonstrated a potent attack, but its defense has been a major concern away from home.
They have not recorded a clean sheet in an away game since September 29th of last year. This defensive frailty on the road is the key reason to expect goals in this fixture.
Newcastle has also lost five of its last seven Premier League away games, which makes a moneyline bet a less confident play. However, their overall talent and recent victories should give them the edge.
Given Wolves’ porous defense and Newcastle's leaky away record, a high-score outcome feels more probable than a straightforward victory for the visitors.
Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Newcastle | Draw | Wolverhampton |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | 25.2% | 23.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Newcastle | Total Goals | Wolverhampton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.46 | 0.94 |
Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton Betting Analysis
A deep dive into the matchup reveals a clash of long-term quality versus short-term momentum.
Wolves are 14 points from safety and appear destined for the drop, a fact underscored by their historically poor points total after 21 games. They have managed just one point all season against teams currently in the top half of the Premier League table.
However, Newcastle’s own away form presents a significant obstacle. They rank 14th in the league based on away results and have lost five of their last seven league games on their travels.
The club has failed to score in half of its 10 away fixtures this season, a statistic that seems at odds with its chase for a European spot.
The head-to-head history heavily favors Newcastle, which is unbeaten in the last eight meetings against Wolves, with six wins and two draws. In the last four encounters, Wolves have found the back of the net only once.
Yet, a specific trend at Molineux provides hope for the home team; five of the last seven Premier League games between these clubs at this venue have ended in a draw.
This history of tight contests at Wolves’ home stadium, combined with Newcastle’s road struggles, suggests this game will not be a simple affair for the favorite.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Wolves vs Newcastle picks.
