Rough week last week. We got a little greedy hunting plus-money value, and it bit us. So we're going back to what works: smart plays on teams we trust.
Four on the card this week. Let's go.
My Premier League best bets are below.
Premier League Best Bets
The club logos in the table below represent each match that our soccer betting staff is targeting from today's games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Match | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 10:00 A.M. | |
  | 12:30 P.M. | |
  | 9:00 A.M. | |
  | 11:30 A.M. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our soccer Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Arsenal vs. Hull City
Arsenal gave up a late goal in the Champions League this week, but they still got the win. In the Premier League, this defense just doesn't give much away. They kept clean sheets in their last two league wins, 1-0 at Forest and 2-0 over Everton, and they're perfect at home in the league this season.
Hull are a promoted side that has struggled to find the net away from home, and they were dead last in the league in expected goals earlier this season. Arsenal at the Emirates against an inferior opponent, getting back to their defensive ways. Back it.
Pick: Arsenal to Win to Nil (-175)
Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City
City have been a little shaky lately, and last week's loss to Brighton proved it. But this is still a team with proven quality. They came from behind to beat RB Leipzig in the Champions League this week, and of course it was Erling Haaland with the winner.
Yes, they've been playing a ton of games. But Forest have been struggling, sitting 19th in the table. At -130, this is a great price to get the title contenders back on track. Back City.
Pick: Manchester City Moneyline (-130)
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool
Liverpool are coming off a tough 3-2 loss to Fenerbahce in Turkey. That snapped a perfect start in the Champions League, so expect a reaction.
Crystal Palace are the right team to take it out on. They sit 17th and have conceded 21 goals in nine league games, with just one clean sheet all season. They also played in the Europa League midweek.
This is a get-right spot for Liverpool. I expect them to score multiple goals and win. Back it.
Pick: Liverpool Moneyline & Over 1.5 Goals (-130)
Manchester United  vs. Aston Villa
Manchester United needed something after a horrible month, and they got it with a big midweek comeback win over Roma. That should stop the bleeding.
Now they're back at Old Trafford, where they've been scoring but also giving plenty away: 13 conceded in their first eight league games.
Villa have been playing much better lately, beating City 2-1 just two weeks ago. They lost to Barcelona midweek, but this team scores goals. Two sides coming off European nights, both able to find the net. Back the goals.
Good luck this weekend. Let's cash some tickets.
