Saturday Premier League Betting Odds & Picks: Liverpool vs. Leeds United (Sept. 12)

Credit:

Andrew Powell/Liverpool FC via Getty Images. Pictured: Mohamed Salah at Wembley Stadium.

Sep 12, 2020, 09:50 AM EDT
  • Liverpool begins its quest to repeat as Premier League champion Saturday when it faces promoted side Leeds.
  • Dillon Essma breaks down the match and tells us why he thinks the Reds should roll in this showdown.

Premier League Odds: Liverpool vs. Leeds United

Liverpool odds -360 [BET NOW]
Leeds odds +850 [BET NOW]
Draw +525 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-177) [BET NOW]
Time Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Odds updated as of Saturday at 9:45 a.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


The defending champions of the Premier League welcome Leeds United to Anfield Saturday for their first game of the season.

Leeds are one of the newly promoted sides from the Championship and start with a difficult test. Both clubs play a pressing and aggressive style, so it should be a fun match to watch.

Liverpool

Liverpool won the Premier League last season with a whopping 99 points. The closest competitor was Man City, who tallied 81 points. The Reds will have all of their top talent back and surely want to start the season on the right foot. Liverpool generated a goal differential of 1.37 last season, and went undefeated for the majority of the season.

They tailed off after they secured the title, which I find pretty normal behavior. I’m not concerned about that and I expect a good performance from Liverpool. Last season Liverpool opened up with a match against Norwich at Anfield and won 4-1.

I believe Leeds are a more formidable opponent than Norwich, but Liverpool usually wins convincingly to start their campaign. Leeds play a pressing style, as does Liverpool. If they play that way, which I expect them to, then I see a convincing Liverpool victory.

Leeds United

Leeds United won the EFL Championship by 10 points last season, allowing them to be promoted to the Premier League. They allowed 35 goals over the entire season, and most like them as the one promoted side to stay up and even compete for a mid-table spot.

They brought in Rodrigo from Valencia, which is a very high profile signing for a newly promoted club. He should help them score more goals, but it is unclear if he will start Game 1.

Their manager, Marcelo Bielsa, is looked upon very highly amongst the world’s top managers. They play a pressing and attacking style, where they like to turn teams over in their own third and take advantage of changes in possession in advantageous positions. A style not too different than how Liverpool like to play.

Leeds’ strategy worked very well in the Championship last season, and could work against the bottom half of the table in the Premier League. I’m sure you’re like where is the but … well, that’s not going to work against the Reds.

Trying to press Liverpool high up the pitch with lower quality talent usually ends in one way. I see a high scoring match here and will bet Liverpool to cover -1.5 up to -120.

The Pick: Liverpool -1.5 (-110)

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