Paris Saint-Germain looks to close out their Champions League knockout tie against Monaco. The French teams will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Parc des Princes in Paris.
After a dramatic comeback victory in the first leg, the Parisians hold a clear advantage, but Monaco has shown they can trouble the European champions.
Let's get into our PSG vs. Monaco prediction.
PSG vs. Monaco Prediction
Pick: PSG -1.75 Asian Handicap
Our Monaco vs. PSG best bet is on PSG to win by at least two goals.
PSG vs. Monaco Odds
| Monaco Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -334o / 250u | +800 | |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -334o / 250u | -371 | |
PSG vs. Monaco Kalshi Odds
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PSG vs. Monaco Pick
PSG is a powerhouse, especially on offense. The club averages 2.3 goals per game in domestic play and an even more impressive 2.7 goals per game in European competition.
This offensive firepower is the primary reason to back them to win by at least two goals. In the first leg, even after a 2-0 deficit, PSG completely controlled the match. They finished with 80% possession and an incredible 30 shots, a testament to their overwhelming pressure. Now at home, that control should only intensify.
Monaco, on the other hand, has significant struggles on the road in Europe. The team managed just a single away win in the competition and suffered heavy defeats where opponents covered similar spreads.
For example, both Real Madrid and Club Brugge secured comfortable wins against Monaco in the League Phase.
The history between these two clubs also favors a comfortable PSG win. The Parisian side has covered this handicap in three of the last five head-to-head duels against Monaco across all competitions.
Given Monaco's defensive issues away from home and PSG's elite attack, the home side is well-positioned to earn a convincing victory.
Pick: PSG -1.75 Asian Handicap
PSG vs. Monaco Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| PSG | Draw | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 78.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| PSG | Total Goals | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04 | 3.98 | 0.94 |
PSG vs. Monaco Betting Analysis
Even with a 3-2 aggregate lead from the first leg, expect Luis Enrique's PSG to play on the front foot. Their performance in Monaco, where they generated 1.9 more expected goals (xG) than the home side, demonstrates their superior quality.
PSG’s fluid forward line caused immense problems for Monaco's defense, and that pattern should continue at the Parc des Princes. The hosts will look to end this contest early with a fast start.
For Monaco to have any hope of a comeback, they need to be clinical with their few chances and hope for a wasteful performance from PSG.
This scenario seems unlikely. Monaco has managed just three shutouts in 18 road games this season, while PSG has scored in 15 of its 16 home contests.
A Monaco comeback appears to be a remote possibility. The head-to-head record is also stark. PSG has won four of the last five encounters, and Monaco has not won at PSG's home stadium in nearly a decade.
Recent games have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.6 goals, which supports the idea of another multi-goal performance from the Parisian offense.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Monaco vs PSG picks.
