Real Madrid (4-0-1) and Paris Saint-Germain (4-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.
Let's get into my Real Madrid vs. PSG prediction.
PSG is favored at a +135 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-185o / +135u) goals.
Real Madrid vs. PSG Betting Analysis
Both teams to score backers won’t have enjoyed PSG’s recent matches. This bet hasn’t won in any of their past seven matches across all competitions, but we’re backing that run to the end when they square off against Real Madrid.
Xabi Alonso is enjoying an unbeaten start with Real Madrid. The team drew their first game in charge against Al Hilal, but since then, they have won four matches and looked menacing in the process.
The Spanish side has scored in all five of their matches in this competition. The underlying data shows that it’s not a fluke — their average xG of 1.79 ranks amongst the best in the competition. Real Madrid has created numerous chances in both of its matches in the knockout stage and certainly has the quality to hurt PSG.
This bet landed comfortably as Real Madrid beat Dortmund 3-2 in the last round. Los Blancos have been excellent going forward, but there has been space for opposition attackers to exploit as the squad adjusts to Alonso’s tactics.
PSG’s attack is arguably the most feared in world football at present. Kvaratskhelia’s January move added even more cutting edge to a wonderfully fluid forward line. Dembele, Doue, and Barcola all feature regularly in Luis Enrique’s well-oiled machine. Expect them to make an impact in the semi-final against Real Madrid.
Les Parisiens have failed to score in just one of their last 20 competitive matches. Over that period, they have scored an average of 2.55 goals per game and conceded 0.9. However, Real Madrid is capable of creating more chances than PSG’s average opponent.
