Tottenham Hotspur (2-0-2) and Paris Saint-Germain (3-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Parc des Princes in Paris.
PSG is favored at a -278 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+122o / -158u) goals.
Let's get into my Tottenham vs. PSG prediction.
Tottenham vs. PSG Prediction
Pick: PSG -1.5 Asian Handicap
My Tottenham vs. PSG best bet is on the hosts to win by at least two goals.
Tottenham vs. PSG Odds
| Tottenham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 3.5 125o / -155u | +700 |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 3.5 125o / -155u | -275 |
Tottenham vs. PSG Picks, Parlay
Pick:PSG -1.5 Asian Handicap
PSG was beaten by Bayern Munich in its last Champions League match, making it essential for Luis Enrique’s side to get back on track as it pushes to finish inside the top eight. Tottenham was comfortably beaten at the weekend, and we’re banking on another heavy defeat for Spurs by backing Les Parisiens -1.5 on the Asian Handicap.
Enrique’s team has lost just one of its nine matches at the Parc des Princes this season, winning six. Bayern — another major contender for the Champions League — is the only side to leave Paris with a victory. Tottenham’s recent form suggests it is far from that level, so PSG should feel confident at home.
PSG has won 12 of its 15 Champions League games in 2025, scoring an average of 3.07 goals per match, 2.14 more than its opponents. With Bradley Barcola and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia back from injury, the hosts have the attacking depth to secure an emphatic win.
Tottenham enters at even longer odds in the 1x2 market than it did before Sunday’s 4-1 defeat at the Emirates. Thomas Frank’s team produced just three shots in that match and finished with an xG of only 0.07, while allowing Arsenal 17 shots and three big chances. PSG has the quality to dominate Spurs in a similar fashion.
These teams last met in the Super Cup in August, when PSG arrived without any warm-up matches after an extended post-Club World Cup break. Even lacking match rhythm, they still managed to win on penalties. With full sharpness this time, Enrique’s side should be positioned for a far more comfortable victory.
Tottenham vs. PSG Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Tottenham | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 18.4% | 66.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Tottenham | Total Goals | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 3.52 | 2.41 |
Tottenham vs. PSG Betting Analysis
PSG and Tottenham meet again this season, just three months after their UEFA Super Cup final clash.
On that occasion, the Parisians came back from a 2-0 deficit to force penalties, eventually lifting the trophy after a dramatic late turnaround.
This time, the reigning Champions League winners and Spurs are separated by just one point in the standings, following PSG’s 2-1 defeat to Bayern in the previous round.
Tottenham remains unbeaten in Europe this season but has managed only two draws away from home. Thomas Frank’s side is also coming off a heavy 4–1 loss in the North London derby against Arsenal on Sunday.
The visitors have won only one of their last four away matches, while PSG have lost just one of their previous 11 fixtures. It’s no surprise, then, that bookmakers heavily favor Luis Enrique’s team. In fact, in the latest PSG vs. Tottenham odds, a home victory carries a projected win probability of over 70%.
