West Ham United (6-14-7) and Liverpool (13-8-6) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EST at Anfield in Liverpool, England.
Liverpool is favored at a -250 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+107o / -135u) goals.
Let's get into my West Ham vs. Liverpool prediction.
West Ham vs. Liverpool Prediction
Pick: West Ham +1.25 Asian Handicap
My West Ham vs. Liverpool best bet is for the visitors to keep the game close, which makes a wager on West Ham +1.25 on the Asian handicap an attractive option.
West Ham vs. Liverpool Odds
| West Ham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -135 | 3.5 +107o / -135u | +650 |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 3.5 +107o / -135u | -250 |
West Ham vs. Liverpool Picks, Parlay
Pick: West Ham +1.25 Asian Handicap
While Liverpool has won five of its last six matches, a closer look reveals a team that is not at its peak. The Reds have secured their last two Premier League victories by a narrow 1-0 margin, and their recent home form raises questions. At Anfield, they have won just two of their last four league games and have struggled to deliver dominant performances for bettors.
Covering the spread has been a major issue for Liverpool at home. The club has only covered the handicap in one of its last five Premier League matches at Anfield. Teams like Burnley, Leeds and Wolves all managed to stay within the number when they visited, and there is reason to believe an in-form West Ham can do the same. Across the last 12 Premier League contests, Arne Slot’s team has won by a two-goal margin on just two occasions.
Contrast that with West Ham's recent trajectory. Manager Nuno Espirito Santo has revitalized the squad, which has collected more points in its last five matches than it did in the 10 prior. The Hammers have not lost against the spread in any of their last five games, a stretch that includes draws against Bournemouth and Manchester United. Their underlying metrics are also impressive; against Bournemouth, they generated 2.87 expected goals (xG) without scoring, the highest mark for any goalless team in the league this season. This suggests their attack is potent and capable of troubling a Liverpool defense that has kept just one clean sheet in its last five home fixtures.
With Liverpool’s unconvincing victories and West Ham’s clear improvement, the Hammers are well positioned to keep this contest tight. A wager on West Ham +1.25 provides a payout if they win, draw or lose by a single goal.
West Ham vs. Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| West Ham | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 19.7% | 63.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| West Ham | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 3.10 | 2.09 |
West Ham vs. Liverpool Betting Analysis
The tactical script for this match seems straightforward. Liverpool, especially at Anfield, will likely control the ball for long stretches. In its last five home games against West Ham, it has averaged over 60% possession, and that pattern should continue here. However, possession does not always translate to comfortable victories, and Liverpool could find it difficult to break down a resilient West Ham defense. The absence of creative midfielder Florian Wirtz due to injury will only complicate matters for the home team.
Historically, Liverpool has dominated this head-to-head series. The Reds are undefeated in their last 10 meetings with West Ham, a run that includes nine wins. Earlier this season, they traveled to London and secured a 2-0 victory. While that history is imposing, it fails to account for the current form of both squads. West Ham has undergone a significant transformation in recent months, with new arrivals and a renewed defensive structure making it a much tougher opponent.
Recent meetings have produced a high number of goals, with an average of 5.2 per game over the last five encounters. However, with West Ham’s newfound defensive solidity and Liverpool’s recent trend of low-scoring wins, this match could be a tighter affair than the historical data suggests.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your West Ham vs Liverpool picks.
