The World Cup Round of 16 offers two more marquee matchups today: Argentina vs Egypt and Switzerland vs Colombia.
Our team of experts has picks for each match, so let's dive into today's World Cup best bets.
Today's World Cup Best Bets, Expert Picks
The team logos in the table below represent each of the World Cup matchups that our staff is targeting from today's slate. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12:00 p.m. | |
  | 4:00 p.m. | |
| 4:00 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our World Cup odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Argentina vs Egypt Best Bet
At 39 years old, Lionel Messi has been a dominant force in North America, scoring in all four of Argentina’s games and totaling seven goals. He is significantly outperforming his expected goals (xG) of 4.01, a testament to his clinical finishing from every angle. This offensive output is a key reason why Argentina is on a nine-game streak of scoring two or more goals in tournament matches.
While the defending champions showed some vulnerability by needing extra time to overcome Cape Verde in the Round of 32, their underlying metrics were strong. They generated 2.26 xG while conceding only 0.47 xGA, showcasing a robust defensive structure that should limit Egypt's opportunities. Argentina’s defense has been a cornerstone of their success, conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
While Mohamed Salah provides a world-class threat, Egypt will likely struggle to contain an Argentinian side that excels on both sides of the ball.
Pick: Argentina to Win & Lionel Messi to Score (+100, bet365)
Switzerland vs Colombia Best Bet
Colombia has been one of the most defensively impressive teams in the entire competition. Néstor Lorenzo’s squad has conceded only a single goal through their first four matches, a testament to their organization and discipline.
They held a talented Portugal side to a 0-0 draw and shut out Ghana in the Round of 32, allowing no shots on target. Their expected goals against (xGA) of just 2.73 underscores their stingy defense, a record bettered only by Spain.
Four of Switzerland's last seven matches have gone under the 2.5 goal line, a result that has also occurred in four of Colombia's last five games, including all three of their most recent contests in North America.
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-164, bet365)
Switzerland vs Colombia Best Bet
While not quite as impenetrable as Colombia, Switzerland has tightened up as the tournament has progressed. After conceding in each group-stage match, they secured a crucial 2-0 clean-sheet win against Algeria to advance. Historically, the Swiss have been a tough team to break down in major competitions. The trend toward low-scoring games is strong for both sides.
Given the high stakes, the first half is likely to be a cagey affair. Switzerland comes into this match on a 10-game unbeaten run, and six of those contests were level at halftime. Colombia has also seen two of their four matches at this tournament tied after 45 minutes. With both teams prioritizing defensive shape over attacking aggression from the start, a half-time draw offers solid value.
Pick: Half-Time Result: Draw (+105, bet365)
