Moscow Liga Pro Table Tennis Odds, Pick: Kiril Abramov vs. Vladimir Petrov

Dear lord, what an ugly couple of days worth of ping pong picks from yours truly. The type of losing streak I'd tell my grandkids about if I ever have grandkids. The type of losing streak that would be on the news if there weren't much more important things going on.

I will not be doing the full blown statistical breakdown today (uproarious applause breaks out) as I do not have time. Then again, I was infinitely more successful back in the days when I was doing solo picks so maybe this is a good thing.

Have the stomach to potentially hit the nine-match losing streak with me today? You should probably do so in risk-free fashion … you know, because of the eight straight losses I've posted.

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Kiril Abramov vs. Vladimir Petrov

• Abramov: -350
• Petrov: +250
• 5 p.m. ET
• H2H: Abramov 3-1
• Abramov: Career 22-17, +0.36 sets per match differential
• Abramov Past 3 Days: 9-7, +0.38 sets per match differential
• Petrov Past 50 Matches: 32-18, +0.42 sets per match differential
• Petrov Past 3 Days: 11-5, +0.32 sets per match differential

This match definitely stuck out the most to me on the evening slate, as I'm just not sure why Abramov is such a lofty favorite against a very capable opponent in Petrov.

If you check the stats, both players have very similar numbers. Abramov has the head-to-head edge, though Petrov won their most recent match yesterday.

Additionally, one new angle I've been looking into is how much action players have already had on the day. I've been targeting the 4 p.m. ET slates for the most part, which are the final slates of the day. Many players will have already played in one of the earlier mini-slates, but that's not always the case.

This match is taking place at midnight Moscow time, and Abramov played four matches in one of today's earlier slates. Petrov is nice and rested up from yesterday, though, a day in which he went 7-1, winning his final seven matches.

Just looking at all these factors, I think Petrov has a much better chance than the ~28.5% his +250 odds suggest. I also see him as low as +165 around the market, so this price looks mighty fine.

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