The Milwaukee Brewers host the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 3, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Brewers are favored by -149 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Brewers Prediction
- Pirates vs Brewers Pick: Brewers ML -149 or Better
My Pirates vs Brewers best bet is the Brewers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Brewers Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 8.5 -104o / -118u | +128 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 8.5 -104o / -118u | -138 |
- Pirates vs Brewers moneyline: Pirates +125, Brewers -149
- Pirates vs Brewers over/under: 8.5 (-104o / -117u)
- Pirates vs Brewers spread: Brewers -1.5 (+144), Pirates +1.5 (-172)
Pirates vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Bubba Chandler (RHP) | Stat | Brandon Sproat (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | W-L | 3-6 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 4.56/3.96 | ERA / xERA | 5.05/4.95 |
| 4.34/4.98 | FIP / xFIP | 5.19/4.34 |
| 7.8 | K-BB% | 12.6 |
| 39.1 | GB% | 42.9 |
| .272 | BABIP | .287 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 102 | Location+ | 94 |
Pirates vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
The Pirates are playing their way out of the playoffs. They just lost three of four in Cincinnati and are now below a 20% chance of making the postseason after a very encouraging first four months of the season.
And now they have to go into Milwaukee for a four-game set against the Brewers. This schedule has been brutal for Pittsburgh. They're finishing up a stretch where they have to play 14 games in 14 days. So the bullpen is taxed, and their offense has really cratered.
They'll miss Misiorowski in this series, but Brandon Sproat is not a cake matchup. Over his last two months of play, Sproat has a 24% K% with a 10% BB% and just a .313 xwOBA allowed.
The Brewers have gone into the lab with him, and they're getting increasingly better production from him. At home against a cold Pirates lineup, I really like the Brewers' chances.
I don't expect a great outing from Bubba Chandler in this spot. He has not been getting strikeouts, and his command issues are well known. The Brewers have seen him, and they aren't going to do him any favors in the box tonight.
In my sims model, the Brewers are the biggest favorite on the board, winning nearly 60% of the sims. The arrow is pointing up on Sproat and the Brewers, and down on Chandler and the Pirates. I think it's an easy Milwaukee win.
Pick: Brewers ML -149 or Better
