Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rafa Nadal
Let the real tournament on the men’s side begin, as eight seeds will collide for four spots in the Wimbledon semis. We should see more entertaining tennis on Wednesday than we did in a very chalky fourth round.
For the first time since the 2015 French Open, Roger Federer, Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic are all still alive in the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam — and with all playing well, we should have an exciting end to the tournament.
As we look ahead to the “meat and potatoes” of week two, we must focus on the conditions — and how they change toward the latter portion of Wimbledon. We’ve now reached the point where conditions start to slow down. And while big servers were aided in the first week (as we can see by the number of tall, big servers left in the field), more established baseliners will have the edge the rest of the way.
Before we get too ahead of ourselves, let’s take a moment to dig through Wednesday’s matchups to identify any betting value on the card.
Novak Djokovic (-575) vs. Kei Nishikori (+435)
Time: 8 a.m. ET
Where: Centre Court
H2H: Djokovic leads 13-2
With the price so heavily in favor of Djokovic, I don’t see much value in backing him at -575. That said, Nishikori has looked less than spectacular this Wimbledon. He dropped sets against Christian Harrison and Bernie Tomic, before getting pushed by Ernests Gulbis in the fourth round in a match he could’ve easily lost.
If Nishikori looked better, I’d be tempted to test Djokovic — but I like Novak to get through this match and advance to the semifinal. It’s tough to try to predict a scoreline, but I have a feeling Novak will win this one in three, maybe four, sets. With the over/under at 36, I’d lean under.
The Serb not only owns a 13-2 head-to-head record, but he has won 12 consecutive meetings against Kei. And in two of the three times the pair have met at Grand Slams, Djokovic won in straight sets. We could very well see a similar result on Wednesday in their first career meeting on grass.
Bet to Watch: Under 36 Games