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Aces vs Fever Prediction, Odds, Pick for WNBA Semifinals Game 4

Aces vs Fever Prediction, Odds, Pick for WNBA Semifinals Game 4 article feature image
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Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images Pictured: A’ja Wilson

The Las Vegas Aces (4-2) and Indiana Fever (3-3) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 3:00 p.m. EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Ind. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.

The Aces are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 159 (-112o / -109u). The Aces are a -192 favorite to win outright, while the Fever are +164 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Aces vs. Fever predictions and WNBA picks.

Playbook

Aces vs. Fever Odds, Pick

Aces Logo
Sunday, Sep 28
3 p.m. ET
ABC
Fever Logo
Aces Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4.5
-110
159
-110o / -110u
-200
Fever Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4.5
-110
159
-110o / -110u
+165
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute WNBA odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Aces vs. Fever Spread: Aces -4.5 (-110), Fever +4.5 (-110)
  • Aces vs. Fever Over/Under: 159 (-112o / -109u)
  • Aces vs. Fever Moneyline: Aces -192, Fever +164
  • Aces vs. Fever Best Bet: A'ja Wilson Over 38.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists -115 (bet365) 
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Aces vs. Fever Preview

The Aces come into Game 4 with a 2-1 lead in the series, and they have done so in large part without typical contributions from their best player, A'ja Wilson. The MVP candidate has been held in check by the Indiana Fever, as she has yet to deliver an average performance in this series.

However, her down series is not due to a lack of effort, as we've seen her shot volume increase by nearly four shots per game. In the regular season, Wilson shot 50 percent from the field, but she is shooting just 36 percent in this series.

It's clear she's due for sizable positive regression in the shooting department, and with her uptick in volume, that could lead to a big performance this afternoon. What's also great is that her rebounding rates have held steady, and we saw her facilitate in Game 3, racking up four assists.


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Aces vs. Fever Prediction

The Aces can punch their ticket to the Finals today, and Wilson should be a big part of why they do so. She's primed to stuff the statsheet as the Aces have proven they can win without her contributing significantly.

The pressure is on Indiana to continue defending Wilson well, but it's doubtful they can do so for a fourth straight game. Look for Wilson to have a huge scoring night while she continues to control the glass and facilitate when needed.

Best Bet: A'ja Wilson Over 38.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists -115 (bet365)



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About the Author

Doug is a college football, college basketball and MLB contributor at the Action Network. He produces content centered around actionable advice with the goal of helping readers become better bettors. He studied journalism at Rutgers and has previously covered the New York Mets, Indianapolis Colts, and Mid-Atlantic region for Perfect Game.

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