The Las Vegas Aces (4-2) and Golden State Valkyries (2-5) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 3:00 p.m. EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.
The Aces are favored by -12 on the spread, with the over/under set at 160.5 (-110o / -109u). The Aces are a -600 favorite to win outright, while the Valkyries are +440 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Valkyries prediction and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Valkyries Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12 -107 | 160.5 -110o / -109u | -600 |
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12 -113 | 160.5 -110o / -109u | +440 |
- Aces vs. Valkyries Spread: Aces -12 (-107), Valkyries +12 (-113)
- Aces vs. Valkyries Over/Under: 160.5 (-110o / -109u)
- Aces vs. Valkyries Moneyline: Aces -600, Valkyries +440
- Aces vs. Valkyries Best Bet: Valkyries +12
Aces vs. Valkyries Preview
After getting blown out by the Storm in Seattle, the Aces have seemingly gotten back on track and have won two in a row. A'ja Wilson, averaging 22.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, leads the way, but Las Vegas presents a well-balanced attack with four starters who average at least 10 points per game.
The Valkyries have lost four straight, but would have covered this number in three of those losses. It was always expected to be a tough debut season for Golden State, but the Valkyries have been playing hard and competing late in games, a positive sign. Veronica Burton leads the way with an average of 12.6 points per game and will need a strong performance for Golden State to cover tonight.
The Aces are the more talented team and should win this game, but we just need Golden State to keep this close, something the Valkyries have proven capable of early this season.
Aces vs. Valkyries Prediction
This system focuses on games after a team has lost by seven or more points as these situations heighten market negativity and inflate the next spread.
However, this system suggests that WNBA teams — even those with poor records — can respond competitively, especially when lines cross a key value threshold like 11.5 or more. We're capturing max line inflation that has been driven by poor optics, not predictive fundamentals.
Overall, this system is 140-87-4 (62%) and has produced at 19% ROI. However, if we're just looking at the 2025 season, it's been on fire. This season, this system is 3-1 with a 43% ROI.
Best Bet: Valkyries +12
