The Atlanta Dream (21-12) and Golden State Valkyries (18-15) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Dream are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 153.5 (-110o / -110u). The Dream are a -190 favorite to win outright, while the Valkyries are +155 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Dream vs. Valkyries predictions and WNBA picks.
Dream vs. Valkyries Odds, Pick
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 153.5 -110o / -110u | -190 |
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 153.5 -110o / -110u | +155 |
- Dream vs. Valkyries Spread: Dream -3.5 (-115), Valkyries +3.5 (-105)
- Dream vs. Valkyries Over/Under: 153.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Dream vs. Valkyries Moneyline: Dream -190, Valkyries +155
- Dream vs. Valkyries Best Bet: Veronica Burton Under 20.5 Points+Assists+Rebounds (-108)
Dream vs. Valkyries Preview
Two of the best defensive teams in the association are set to square off tonight as the Dream head to San Francisco to take on the Valkyries.
The Valkyries are just 0.5 better than the Dream in defensive rating, which makes them second and third behind the Lynx, who have a defensive rating of 95.7.
However, these teams are not only similar in defensive prowess but also in pace. They are the two slowest teams in terms of tempo. This matchup has the potential to be a rock fight, which would greatly impact Valkyries guard Veronica Burton.
Burton has been a very streaky scorer this season, shooting just 38% from the field, but she's not been afraid to facilitate when she doesn't have the hot hand. However, the Dream has been a nightmare for opposing guards.
Atlanta ranks first in assists allowed, second in points allowed, and third in rebounds allowed to guards. We've already seen Burton scuffle against the Dream this season, as she went over this combined total by one in their first meeting, which was also a Valkyries win.
However, she fell short by five in their second meeting, which was a Dream victory. With the Dream being road favorites in this one, an Atlanta victory is correlated with a poor offensive showing from Burton.
Dream vs. Valkyries Prediction
In addition to the matchup, Burton has not proven she can surpass this total with any consistency. She's gone under this total in 58% of her games this season, including six of her last 10, where her median output was just 18.5.
With a stout defensive matchup and possessions limited by a slow tempo, all signs point to Burton staying under here.
Best Bet: Veronica Burton Under 20.5 Points+Assists+Rebounds (-108, FanDuel)
