The Las Vegas Aces and Connecticut Sun meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The game will be broadcast live on USA.
The Aces are favored by -14.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 172 (-110 / -110). The Aces are a -1200 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +750 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Sun Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -105 | 172 -110o / -110u | -1200 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -115 | 172 -110o / -110u | +750 |
- Aces vs. Sun Spread: – 14.5 (-105), – 14.5(-115)
- Aces vs. Sun Over/Under: 172 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Sun Moneyline: Aces -1200, Sun +750
Aces vs. Sun Preview
The Las Vegas Aces are 1-1 on the season as they bounced back with a dominant victory over the Sparks after being blown out themselves when they received their championship rings on opening night.
While the two results are polarizing, it's clear that the Aces, led by reigning MVP A'ja Wilson, are in line to get back on track as they are sizable favorites over the Sun tonight. However, we have seen through the first two games that these blowouts make Wilson's usage very predictable.
As for the Sun, they are 0-2, but they showed much more fight in their second game of the season against the Seattle Storm after being blown out by the New York Liberty. This Sun team has some scrappiness that, along with the game script, creates a player prop edge we can capitalize on.
Our PRO prop projections agree with what the matchup portrays.
Aces vs. Sun Prediction
A'ja Wilson is coming off a dominant 2025 campaign in which she averaged a double-double, posting 23.4 points and 10.2 rebounds per night. However, her rebounding median across 52 games last season was 9.5.
That suggests she offers a high floor when it comes to cleaning up the glass, along with upside in the right matchup. Overall, she recorded fewer than 10.5 rebounds in 60 percent of games last season, and the two blowouts this season have led her to grab only four in each game.
Thus far, we've seen Wilson's scoring create the separation her team needs on the scoreboard as her rebounding has taken a back seat. With the game script projected to be similar and Wilson having to contend with Aneesah Morrow in the paint, there are plenty of signs pointing to her staying under this rebounding total for a third consecutive game.
Our PRO projections have her slated for just 9.3 rebounds, which equates to a 13.9 percent edge on the current price at bet365.
Best Bet: A'ja Wilson Under 10.5 Rebounds (-112, bet365)
