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Liberty vs Aces Prediction, Pick, WNBA Odds for Thursday, July 30

Liberty vs Aces Prediction, Pick, WNBA Odds for Thursday, July 30 article feature image
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May 28, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Las Vegas Aces guard Chelsea Gray (12) in action during the game between the Wings and the Aces at College Park Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

The New York Liberty (13-12) and Las Vegas Aces (17-7) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.

The Aces are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 182.5 (-105o / -115u). The Aces are a -192 favorite to win outright, while the Liberty are +154 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Liberty vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks.

Liberty vs. Aces Odds, Pick

Liberty Logo
Thursday, Jul 30
10 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Aces Logo
Liberty Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4.5
-108
182.5
-105o / -115u
+154
Aces Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4.5
-112
182.5
-105o / -115u
-192
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute WNBA odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Liberty vs. Aces Spread: Liberty +4.5 (-108), Aces -4.5 (-112)
  • Liberty vs. Aces Over/Under: 182.5 (-105o / -115u)
  • Liberty vs. Aces Moneyline: Liberty +154, Aces -192
  • Liberty vs. Aces Best Bet: Aces -4.5
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Liberty vs. Aces Preview

Injuries were a key factor in the last game, with A'ja Wilson sitting out the Commissioner's Cup Championship.

Well, we have similar storylines heading into tonight.

For the Liberty, Satou Sabally (concussion) and Leonie Fiebich (foot) are out and Marinne Johannes (ankle) is questionable to play.

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (concussion) is out. Kierstan Bell (leg) is doubtful and NaLyssa Smith (illness) is questionable.


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Liberty vs. Aces Prediction

It's a double bounce-back spot here for the Aces, who went down in the Commissioner's Cup Final last month, albeit without A'ja Wilson, 93-85. Not to mention, the Aces also dropped one to the Liberty 87-76 one week prior, in which Wilson played and struggled, shooting 7-for-18 and finishing with just 16 points.

The Aces have won 4-of-6 overall and at home, and this is a much better revenge spot for them, to me, than July 12 against the Indiana Fever, considering that was the second of a back-to-back while the Liberty are on their second of a three-game West Coast trip.

Best Bet: Aces -4.5


Author Profile
About the Author

Bryan Fonseca is a contributor for The Action Network specializing in basketball and combat sports. He began betting in 2019 while hosting DraftKings Tonight on MSG Networks. Before joining Action in 2022, Fonseca worked as an on-air host and writer at various outlets, including FanDuel, BasketballNews.com, Futuro Media, SLAM and SB Nation. Currently, he's also a sports editor and on-air analyst for the New York Post, where he covers the NBA, boxing, international basketball, betting and more. 

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