2021 Academy Awards Odds For Best Picture, Actor, Actress & More

2021 Academy Awards Odds For Best Picture, Actor, Actress & More article feature image
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Carlo Allegri/Getty Images. Pictured: A display case is seen full of Oscar statues

The 2021 Academy Awards, which usually take place in February, were delayed because of the COVID-19 pandemic. As such, nominations for the 93rd iteration of Hollywood’s Biggest Night made a late mid-March debut with the awards show set to take place on April 25 at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood.

Below are betting odds for the Academy Awards as of April 24 and via DraftKings.


New to betting? Favorites have a minus (-) sign and the number indicates the money you would need to risk to win $100, whereas underdogs have a plus (+) sign while that number indicates the money you would win for every $100 bet.

Example: The Trial of the Chicago 7 is a +550 underdog for Best Picture, which means you would net a $550 profit on a $100 bet if it wins. Learn more here.


Best Picture

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Nomadland -670 87%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +600 14.3%
Minari +1400 6.7%
Promising Young Woman +1700 5.6%
Mank +3300 2.9%
Judas and the Black Messiah +3300 2.9%
The Sound of Metal +5000 2.0%
The Father +10000 1%

Best Director

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Chloé Zhao (Nomadland) -3335 97.1%
David Fincher (Mank) +1000 9.1%
Lee Isaac Chung (Minari) +1700 5.6%
Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) +2000 4.8%
Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round) +2500 3.9%
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Best Actor

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) -1667 94.3%
Anthony Hopkins (The Father) +700 12.5%
Riz Ahmed (The Sound of Metal) +1400 6.7%
Steven Yeun (Minari) +2500 3.9%
Gary Oldman (Mank) +3300 2.9%

Best Actress

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) +125 44.4%
Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) +200 33.3%
Frances McDormand (Nomadland) +400 20%
Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday) +600 14.3%
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) +2000 4.8%

How do I interpret betting odds? At +400 odds, Frances McDormand has a 20% implied probability to win Best Actress for her performance in Nomadland. Convert more using our Betting Odds Calculator.


Best Supporting Actor

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) -2500 96.2%
Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +1200 7.7%
Paul Raci (Sound of Metal) +1200 7.7%
Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami) +1700 5.6%
Lakeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah) +3300 2.9%

Best Supporting Actress

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Youn Yuh-jung (Minari) -500 83.3%
Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) +375 21.1%
Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) +1000 9.1%
Olivia Colman (The Father) +2000 4.8%
Amanda Seyfried (Mank) +3300 2.9%

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Best Original Screenplay

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Promising Young Woman -455 82%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +275 26.71%
Minari +1400 6.7%
Sound of Metal +3300 2.9%
Judas and the Black Messiah +3300 2.9%

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Nomadland -400 80%
The Father +275 26.7%
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm +800 11.1%
One Night in Miami +1400 6.7%
The White Tiger +3300 2.9%

Best International Feature

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Another Round (Denmark) -1250 92.6%
Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina) +650 13.3%
Collective (Romania) +1200 7.7%
Better Days (Hong Kong) +2500 3.9%
The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia) +2500 3.9%

Best Documentary Feature

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
My Octopus Teacher -500 83.3%
Time +400 20%
Collective +800 11.1%
Crip Camp +2000 4.8%
The Mole Agent +5000 2%

Best Documentary Short Subject

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
A Love Song for Latasha -250 71.4%
A Concerto is a Conversation +300 25%
Colette +1000 9.1%
Hunger Ward +1200 7.7%
Do Not Split +1400 6.7%

Best Animated Feature

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Soul -5000 98%
Wolfwalkers +700 12.5%
Onward +2500 3.9%
Over The Moon +2800 3.5%
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon +4000 2.4%

Best Animated Short

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
If Anything Happens I Love You -335 77%
Opera +450 18.2%
Burrow +650 13.3%
Genius Loci +1000 9.1%
Yes People +2500 3.9%

Best Cinematography

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Nomadland -400 80%
Mank +350 22.2%
News of the World +1400 6.7%
Judas and the Black Messiah +1700 5.6%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +2000 4.8%

Best Costume Design

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom -500 83.3%
Emma +350 22.2%
Mank +1000 9.1%
Pinocchio +2500 3.9%
Mulan +3300 2.9%

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom -670 87%
Pinocchio +550 15.4%
Hillbilly Elegy +1200 7.7%
Mank +2000 4.8%
Emma +2500 3.9%

Best Original Song

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Speak Now (One Night in Miami) -155 60.8%
Io Sì (Seen) (The Life Ahead) +225 30.8%
Husavik (Eurovision Song Contest) +350 22.2%
Fight for You (Judas and the Black Messiah) +2500 3.9%
Hear My Voice (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +2500 3.9%

Best Sound

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Sound of Metal -2500 96.2%
Soul +1000 9.1%
Mank +1000 9.1%
Greyhound +2000 4.8%
News of the World +3300 2.9%

Best Visual Effects

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Tenet -560 84.9%
The Midnight Sky +275 26.7%
Mulan +1700 5.6%
The One and Only Ivan +2500 3.9%
Love and Monsters +2500 3.9%

Best Original Score

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Soul -1667 94.3%
Mank +800 11.1%
Minari +1700 5.6%
Da 5 Bloods +2500 3.9%
News of the World +2500 3.9%

Best Film Editing

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Sound of Metal -118 54.1%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 -110 42.4%
Nomadland +650 13.3%
The Father +2000 4.8%
Promising Young Woman +4000 2.4%

Best Production Design

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Mank -560 84.9%
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +650 13.3%
Tenet +800 11.1%
News of the World +2000 4.8%
The Father +2000 4.8%

Best Live Action Short

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
The Letter Room -167 62.6%
Two Distant Strangers +150 40%
Feeling Through +1200 7.7%
The Present +1200 7.7%
White Eye +3300 2.9%

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