2021 Academy Awards Odds For Best Picture, Actor, Actress & More
Credit: Carlo Allegri/Getty Images. Pictured: A display case is seen full of Oscar statues
Updated:
Apr 25, 2021, 07:42 PM EDT
The 2021 Academy Awards, which usually take place in February, were delayed because of the COVID-19 pandemic. As such, nominations for the 93rd iteration of Hollywood's Biggest Night made a late mid-March debut with the awards show set to take place on April 25 at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood.
Below are betting odds for the Academy Awards as of April 24 and via DraftKings.
New to betting? Favorites have a minus (-) sign and the number indicates the money you would need to risk to win $100, whereas underdogs have a plus (+) sign while that number indicates the money you would win for every $100 bet.
Example: The Trial of the Chicago 7 is a +550 underdog for Best Picture, which means you would net a $550 profit on a $100 bet if it wins. Learn more here.
Best Picture
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Nomadland | -670 | 87% |
| The Trial of the Chicago 7 | +600 | 14.3% |
| Minari | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Promising Young Woman | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Mank | +3300 | 2.9% |
| Judas and the Black Messiah | +3300 | 2.9% |
| The Sound of Metal | +5000 | 2.0% |
| The Father | +10000 | 1% |
Best Director
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Chloé Zhao (Nomadland) | -3335 | 97.1% |
| David Fincher (Mank) | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Lee Isaac Chung (Minari) | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round) | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Actor
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom) | -1667 | 94.3% |
| Anthony Hopkins (The Father) | +700 | 12.5% |
| Riz Ahmed (The Sound of Metal) | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Steven Yeun (Minari) | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Gary Oldman (Mank) | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best Actress
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) | +125 | 44.4% |
| Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom) | +200 | 33.3% |
| Frances McDormand (Nomadland) | +400 | 20% |
| Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday) | +600 | 14.3% |
| Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) | +2000 | 4.8% |
How do I interpret betting odds? At +400 odds, Frances McDormand has a 20% implied probability to win Best Actress for her performance in Nomadland. Convert more using our Betting Odds Calculator.
Best Supporting Actor
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) | -2500 | 96.2% |
| Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7) | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Paul Raci (Sound of Metal) | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami) | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Lakeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah) | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best Supporting Actress
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Youn Yuh-jung (Minari) | -500 | 83.3% |
| Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) | +375 | 21.1% |
| Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Olivia Colman (The Father) | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Amanda Seyfried (Mank) | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best Original Screenplay
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Promising Young Woman | -455 | 82% |
| The Trial of the Chicago 7 | +275 | 26.71% |
| Minari | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Sound of Metal | +3300 | 2.9% |
| Judas and the Black Messiah | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Nomadland | -400 | 80% |
| The Father | +275 | 26.7% |
| Borat Subsequent Moviefilm | +800 | 11.1% |
| One Night in Miami | +1400 | 6.7% |
| The White Tiger | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best International Feature
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Another Round (Denmark) | -1250 | 92.6% |
| Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina) | +650 | 13.3% |
| Collective (Romania) | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Better Days (Hong Kong) | +2500 | 3.9% |
| The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia) | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Documentary Feature
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| My Octopus Teacher | -500 | 83.3% |
| Time | +400 | 20% |
| Collective | +800 | 11.1% |
| Crip Camp | +2000 | 4.8% |
| The Mole Agent | +5000 | 2% |
Best Documentary Short Subject
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| A Love Song for Latasha | -250 | 71.4% |
| A Concerto is a Conversation | +300 | 25% |
| Colette | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Hunger Ward | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Do Not Split | +1400 | 6.7% |
Best Animated Feature
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Soul | -5000 | 98% |
| Wolfwalkers | +700 | 12.5% |
| Onward | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Over The Moon | +2800 | 3.5% |
| A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon | +4000 | 2.4% |
Best Animated Short
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| If Anything Happens I Love You | -335 | 77% |
| Opera | +450 | 18.2% |
| Burrow | +650 | 13.3% |
| Genius Loci | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Yes People | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Cinematography
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Nomadland | -400 | 80% |
| Mank | +350 | 22.2% |
| News of the World | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Judas and the Black Messiah | +1700 | 5.6% |
| The Trial of the Chicago 7 | +2000 | 4.8% |
Best Costume Design
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Ma Rainey's Black Bottom | -500 | 83.3% |
| Emma | +350 | 22.2% |
| Mank | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Pinocchio | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Mulan | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Ma Rainey's Black Bottom | -670 | 87% |
| Pinocchio | +550 | 15.4% |
| Hillbilly Elegy | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Mank | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Emma | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Original Song
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Speak Now (One Night in Miami) | -155 | 60.8% |
| Io Sì (Seen) (The Life Ahead) | +225 | 30.8% |
| Husavik (Eurovision Song Contest) | +350 | 22.2% |
| Fight for You (Judas and the Black Messiah) | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Hear My Voice (The Trial of the Chicago 7) | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Sound
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Sound of Metal | -2500 | 96.2% |
| Soul | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Mank | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Greyhound | +2000 | 4.8% |
| News of the World | +3300 | 2.9% |
Best Visual Effects
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Tenet | -560 | 84.9% |
| The Midnight Sky | +275 | 26.7% |
| Mulan | +1700 | 5.6% |
| The One and Only Ivan | +2500 | 3.9% |
| Love and Monsters | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Original Score
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Soul | -1667 | 94.3% |
| Mank | +800 | 11.1% |
| Minari | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Da 5 Bloods | +2500 | 3.9% |
| News of the World | +2500 | 3.9% |
Best Film Editing
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Sound of Metal | -118 | 54.1% |
| The Trial of the Chicago 7 | -110 | 42.4% |
| Nomadland | +650 | 13.3% |
| The Father | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Promising Young Woman | +4000 | 2.4% |
Best Production Design
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| Mank | -560 | 84.9% |
| Ma Rainey's Black Bottom | +650 | 13.3% |
| Tenet | +800 | 11.1% |
| News of the World | +2000 | 4.8% |
| The Father | +2000 | 4.8% |
Best Live Action Short
| Nominee | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|
| The Letter Room | -167 | 62.6% |
| Two Distant Strangers | +150 | 40% |
| Feeling Through | +1200 | 7.7% |
| The Present | +1200 | 7.7% |
| White Eye | +3300 | 2.9% |
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