Joey Chestnut vs Takeru Kobayashi Showdown Demolishes Hot Dog Eating Records: Here were the Odds

Joey Chestnut vs Takeru Kobayashi Showdown Demolishes Hot Dog Eating Records: Here were the Odds article feature image
Credit:

Photo by David Becker/Getty Images for Netflix © 2024Pictured: Joey Chestnut, Rob Riggle and Takeru Kobayashi attend press conference for LIVE Chestnut vs. Kobayashi: Unfinished Beef at the Hyper X Arena at the Luxor on September 01, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Ali-Frazier.

Federer-Nadal.

Joey Chestnut-Takeru Kobayashi.

That’s what a big deal the “Unfinished Beef” showdown was on Netflix as the two legendary competitors faced off Monday for the first time in 15 years. Fans weren’t disappointed as world records were set and personal bests shattered as Chestnut beat Kobayashi, 83-67.

Naturally, bettors were interested in getting in on the action. FanDuel Ontario posted lines, so there were legal, regulated books that had markets for this showdown, although there were no legal odds posted in the United States.

Chestnut was an enormous -1150 favorite to take home the crown while Kobayashi was +650. Chestnut won by 16, easily beating his set winning margin of 13.5. The pair also combined to eat 150 dogs, demolishing the set line of 119.5.

Meanwhile, Chestnut easily beat his set line of 66.5 and his previous world record of 76. He set a new high of 83. The under was favored as it came with a -136 vig while the over was +106.

Despite losing what he vowed was his swan song in competitive eating, Kobayashi should keep his head up high, even though he was blown out of the water. He set a new personal record by downing 67 dogs, beating his previous high of 64 set in 2009. He cruised past his set total of 53.5, which oddsmakers thought was unlikely — offering it at -106, while the under was -122.

So, why did the lines come in so low?

Perhaps it was an overreaction to a major rule change for this epic showdown. Kobayashi revolutionized the Hot Dog eating world by developing the “Solomon Method” in which he’d separate the hot dog from the bun, eat the dog and then “drink” the bun to wash it down. However, neither competitor was allowed to perform it, meaning they’d partake in the contest in a completely different way.

What oddsmakers did nail, though, was Chestnut dominating Kobayashi to take home the trophy and the $100,00 grand prize.

The match wasn’t particularly close. Chestnut downed seven dogs in the first 30 seconds with Kobayashi just one off the pace. However, he out-ate Kobayashi by a dog every 30 seconds and truly pulled away at the seven-minute mark, leading by five. At that point, it was simply a matter of how high each competitor would go and how much Chestnut would win by.


Phone With the Action App Open
The must-have app for sports bettors
The best betting scoreboard
Free picks from proven pros
Live win probabilities for your bets

About the Author
Ricky Henne writes for the Action Network's news team, covering all sports, events and breaking news. He also contributes to Action's NFL coverage. Ricky joined Action in 2022 with more than 20 years of experience covering professional sports. He wrote for the Los Angeles Chargers, New York Knicks and New York Rangers before entering the sports betting industry.

Follow Ricky Henne @rickyhenne on Twitter/X.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.