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2026 Masters: First Round Leader Predictions, Picks, Odds, Bets

2026 Masters: First Round Leader Predictions, Picks, Odds, Bets article feature image
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Daniel Dunn-Imagn Images. Pictured: Ludvig Aberg

The first major championship of the 2026 PGA Tour season begins Thursday with the Masters at Augusta National in Georgia.

While the world's top players compete for the venerable Green Jacket, there are more ways to bet on the tournament than just who will emerge victorious on Sunday. For more instant gratification, we turn to the First Round Leader market to find value on who will sit atop the leaderboard when play comes to an end on Thursday.

Here are my favorite 2026 Masters first-round leader picks and bets for Thursday.


2026 Masters: First Round Leader Picks, Bets

Ludvig Aberg +2400 (DraftKings)

Ludvig Aberg enters this week in excellent form, finishing inside the top five in each of his past three tournaments. A major factor in that success has been his greenside play.

Across those three events, Aberg gained true strokes around the green in each. In fact, he ranks in the 85th percentile on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: around the green.

Greenside play is arguably the most important factor at Augusta National. Last year, each of the top seven finishers ranked inside the top 20 in the field in strokes gained: around the green.

No other strokes-gained category showed a similar trend.

Aberg was one of those top-seven finishers, sitting T2 after Thursday’s opening round last year. Given his development and current form, he has a strong chance to make the jump this time around and secure the first-round lead.


Matt Fitzpatrick+3200 (DraftKings)

Another golfer worth targeting in Thursday’s opening round is Matt Fitzpatrick. Like Aberg, Fitzpatrick brings elite greenside ability to Augusta National, ranking in the 98th percentile on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: around the green.

Success around the greens is often underpinned by strong mid-to-long-iron play. Last season, 19.6% of approach shots came from the 150-175-yard range, the highest distribution of any 25-yard grouping at this course.

Entering this week, Fitzpatrick ranks third on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage from that distance. He also enters the tournament in strong form, coming off a win at the Valspar Championship and a runner-up finish at The Players Championship.

When is the Masters?

The 2026 Masters tees off on Thursday, April 9, 2026.

  • What: 2026 Masters Tournament
  • When: April 9-12, 2026
  • Where: Augusta National Golf Course, Augusta, Ga.
  • Par: 72
  • Length: 7,555
  • Purse: $21 million (estimated)

Where to Watch the Masters?

2026 Masters TV Schedule

Round 1: Thursday, April 9

  • Live stream: Masters.com (7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. ET)
  • TV coverage: ESPN (3 p.m. to 7:30 p.m. ET)

Round 2: Friday, April 10

  • Live stream: Masters.com (7:30 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET)
  • TV coverage: ESPN (3 p.m. to 7:30 p.m. ET)

Round 3: Saturday, April 11

  • Live stream: Masters.com (10:15 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET); Paramount+ (12 p.m. to 2 p.m. ET)
  • TV coverage: CBS (2 p.m. to 7 p.m. ET)

Round 4: Sunday, April 12

  • Live stream: Masters.com (10:15 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET); Paramount+ (12 p.m. to 2 p.m. ET)
  • TV coverage: CBS (2 p.m. to 7 p.m. ET)

Who is Favored to Win the 2026 Masters?

Masters Odds, Favorites

via DraftKings as of Monday

GolferOdds
Scottie Scheffler+490
Jon Rahm+910
Bryson DeChambeau+1075
Rory McIlroy+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1650
Xander Schauffele+1800
Cameron Young+2300
Tommy Fleetwood+2300
Matt Fitzpatrick+2350
Hideki Matsuyama+2800
Collin Morikawa+3100
Min Woo Lee+3400
Robert MacIntyre+3500
Justin Rose+3500
Brooks Koepka+3700
Chris Gotterup+4200
Jordan Spieth+4200
Patrick Reed+4400
Si Woo Kim+4700
Viktor Hovland+4700
Russell Henley+4700
Justin Thomas+5400
Akshay Bhatia+5700
Patrick Cantlay+5800
Adam Scott+6100
Jason Day+6700
Jake Knapp+6700
Shane Lowry+6900
Sam Burns+7000
J.J. Spaun+7200
Sepp Straka+7400
Tyrrell Hatton+7600
Nicolai Hojgaard+7800
Corey Conners+8000
Maverick McNealy+8400
Kurt Kitayama+8600
Jacob Bridgeman+9200
Cameron Smith+9800
Harris English+10000
Gary Woodland+10500
Daniel Berger+10500
Ben Griffin+11000
Sung-Jae Im+11500
Max Homa+12000
Rasmus Hojgaard+12500
Keegan Bradley+13500
Marco Penge+14000
Harry Hall+15500
Alex Noren+16000
Ryan Gerard+16500
Nick Taylor+18000
Sam Stevens+18500
Brian Harman+20000
Aaron Rai+21000
Ryan Fox+21000
Wyndham Clark+21000
Michael Kim+22500
Max Greyserman+22500
Kristoffer Reitan+23000
Sergio Garcia+24000
Casey Jarvis+24000
Carlos Ortiz+25000
Dustin Johnson+26000
Tom McKibbin+26000
Haoton Li+30000
Matt McCarty+30000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen+31000
Andrew Novak+31000
Nico Echavarria+34000
Aldrich Potgieter+39000
Sami Valimaki+40000
John Keefer+40000
Michael Breena+41000
Charl Schwartzel+55000
Bubba Watson+55000
Zach Johnson+57500
Davis Riley+87500
Brian Campbell+250000
Danny Willett+250000
Mason Howell+300000
Ethan Fang+300000
Angel Cabrera+325000
Pongsapak Laopakdee+350000
Naoyuki Kataoka+450000
Brandon Holtz+500000
Vijay Singh+500000
Mike Weir+500000
Fred Couple+500000
Jose Maria Olazabal+500000
Mateo Pulcini+500000
Jackson Herrington+500000

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