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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge: Updated Odds & Picks for Brian Harman, Collin Morikawa, More

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge: Updated Odds & Picks for Brian Harman, Collin Morikawa, More article feature image
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Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Brian Harman.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds via PointsBet

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds

Golfer Odds
Jordan Spieth +900
Justin Thomas +1200
Scottie Scheffler +1200
Collin Morikawa +1800
Viktor Hovland +2200
Will Zalatoris +2200
Abraham Ancer +2800
Max Homa +2800
Sam Burns +2800
Tommy Fleetwood +3000
Daniel Berger +3300
Sungjae Im +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Webb Simpson +3300
Talor Gooch +3500
Billy Horschel +4000
Brian Harman +4000
Chris Kirk +4000
Davis Riley +4000
Justin Rose +4000
Kevin Na +4000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +4000
Gary Woodland +5000
Harold Varner III +5000
Jason Kokrak +5000
Sebastian Munoz +5000
Maverick McNealy +6000
Tom Hoge +6000
Cameron Tringale +7000
Cheng-Tsung Pan +7000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000
Ryan Palmer +7000
Patrick Reed +8000
Erik Van Rooyen +9000
Lucas Herbert +9000
Russell Knox +9000
Troy Merritt +9000
Aaron Rai +10000
Adam Long +10000
Cameron Davis +10000
David Lipsky +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Doug Ghim +10000
Ian Poulter +10000
Joel Dahmen +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Kevin Streelman +10000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +10000
Matthew NeSmith +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Brandon Wu +12500
Brendon Todd +12500
Dylan Frittelli +12500
J. J. Spaun +12500
JT Poston +12500
Lucas Glover +12500
Nate Lashley +12500
Patrick Rodgers +12500
Sahith Theegala +12500
Alex Smalley +15000
Austin Smotherman +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
James Hahn +15000
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Mark Hubbard +15000
Matt Jones +15000
Matthias Schwab +15000
Min Woo Lee +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Peter Malnati +15000
Richard Bland +15000
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Scott Stallings +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Adam Schenk +20000
Beau Hossler +20000
Carlos Ortiz +20000
Chad Ramey +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Danny Lee +20000
Gresyon Sigg +20000
Scott Piercy +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
Zach Johnson +20000
Adam Svensson +25000
Andrew D. Putnam +25000
Brandt Snedeker +25000
Charley Hoffman +25000
Doc Redman +25000
Garrick Higgo +25000
Kramer Hickok +25000
Luke Donald +25000
Michael Thompson +25000
Sam Ryder +25000
John Huh +25000
Brian Stuard +30000
Harry Higgs +30000
Lee Hodges +30000
Robert Streb +30000
Trey Mullinax +30000
Tyler Duncan +30000
Vincent Whaley +30000
Jason Dufner +30000
Hayden Buckley +35000
Paul Barjon +35000
Kevin Tway +40000
Bill Haas +50000
Camilo Villegas +50000
Erik Compton +50000
James Piot +50000
John Pak +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Max McGreevy +50000
Nick Watney +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Tyler Strafaci +50000
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TULSA, Okla. –- Ah, a tradition unlike any other: Previewing the next week’s tournament while still on-site at the previous week’s major championship.

I’ll keep this one regrettably truncated for the upcoming Charles Schwab Challenge, but thankfully there’s plenty of data to employ for a tournament that has been contested at Colonial Country Club for decades longer than any of the current competitors have even been alive.

We know what we’re getting with Colonial, a 7,209-yard par-70 that requires an emphasis on precision off the tee and ball-striking more than the bomb-and-gouge strategies of other PGA TOUR venues.

One quick note as we travel from one Perry Maxwell design at Southern Hills to another: Last Wednesday, during his pre-tournament press conference, Jordan Spieth compared the two courses, saying, “It reminds me a lot of Colonial, just a little bit on steroids, a little more undulation and driver in your hands more.”

While neither of the eventual playoff competitors at the PGA Championship has much Colonial experience — Justin Thomas has played it twice Will Zalatoris once — I do think we can extrapolate this comparison to understand which players fared well last week and might do so on a shorter version of a similar track at this one.

With that in mind, I’m looking at a bunch of players who fared well in different aspects of their games at Southern Hills -– and especially toward the end –- while passing on those who are fresh off a serious title contention.

Click on a section to skip ahead
Outright
OAD Picks
Props
DFS
First-Round Leader
Matchup Man
The Big Fade

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Outright Winner

Brian Harman (+5500)

The final-round leader in Strokes Gained: Approach shots last week wasn’t Thomas or Zalatoris or any of the ball-striking contenders. It was Brian Harman, who gained 2.90 strokes with his irons. This is a metric where I’ll be targeting many of my plays this week, as Chris Kirk, Maverick McNealy, Justin Rose and Collin Morikawa (each of whom will be listed below) were all inside the top-10 on Sunday.

Harman only posted a 1-under 69 in that final round, but it wasn’t an inability to post red numbers that held him back. For the weekend, he tallied an eagle and eight birdies, but it was nine bogeys that kept him from seriously climbing the board.

At a course where he owns three top-10s and six top-25s in nine starts, I’ll play him outright here, though it’s not such a confident play that I won’t have a handful of others on the card, as well.

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Other OADers

Potential selections for one-and-done options

Kevin Na (+5000)

The winner at Colonial three years ago, Na owns five top-10s in 15 starts. He’s a consistent high-floor play, which means he’s more valuable in OADs for those who might only need to tread water at the top, though he (obviously) has some win equity, too.

Kevin Kisner (+8000)

Here’s your presumed OAD chalk, assuming teams have either used Jordan Spieth elsewhere or are saving him for a big one. Kisner won here in 2017 on the heels of top-10 results the previous two years, but he should come with a bit of a warning label, considering he hasn’t finished better than 29th here in his past four starts.

Gary Woodland (+4500)

Due to the course yardage, we’ll often look to use only the short, accurate types at Colonial, but don’t forget about the big hitters, either. Case in point: Jason Kokrak won last year and Tony Finau was runner-up three years ago.

Woodland falls into the same category, a guy who can employ something less than a driver on many of the par-4s, simply angling for a good position with his second shot. With results of ninth and 14th in the past two years, don’t be scared to use him.

Justin Rose (+4500)

Talk about a forgotten man, Rose hadn’t even played since the Masters and when he has played, it hasn’t been great, with MCs in each of his previous three stroke-play starts.

Last week, though, he posted a T13 finish at the PGA Championship and now returns to a place where he won four years ago and has never missed a cut in eight tries.


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Top-Five

One player to finish top-five.

Collin Morikawa (+275 for top-five)

If you’re taking some Harman-esque shots on outrights, it might be smart to counter with some big names for prop plays.

Morikawa didn’t have anything close to his best stuff at Southern Hills, but as mentioned earlier, the ball-striking numbers looked to be his usual top-shelf stuff in the final round. Following a runner-up result in his first career start two years ago, he was T14 last year, showing that this is a course which is right up his alley.

Top-10

One player to finish top-10.

Chris Kirk (+450 for top-10)

If you’d asked me early on Sunday for a favorite outright at Colonial, I likely would’ve offered up Kirk, but a T5 finish has me thinking he’s a bit too chalky and perhaps a bit too short in the books.

Even so, the 2015 winner here is clearly worth a play, even if he’s been a bit all-or-nothing lately. He’s cashed three top-10 tickets in his past seven starts but also has three MCs during that time. I do like the upside, though.

Top-20

One player to finish top-20.

Maverick McNealy (+250 for top-20)

While he didn’t show his typical high floor last week, McNealy has proven to be a dangerous commodity on short courses, playing well at places such as Pebble Beach and Harbour Town so far in his young career. He also seems like he’s on the verge of figuring this one out, improving from 42nd in his first start to 32nd at the next one to 20th last year. 

Top-30

One player to finish top-30.

Kurt Kitayama

Like Kirk, Kitayama is seemingly a guy with big-time upside and downside — at least recently. In his past seven starts, he owns four top-30s, including a pair of top-three finishes, but three MCs. I’d be a little conservative, though, since this is his first time playing the event.

Top-40

One player to finish top-40.

Aaron Rai (+200 for top-40)

This is decidedly too conservative on a guy who’s proven he can manage better, but his game hasn’t been in great form recently. He should be a nice low-end DFS play, as well.


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Jordan Spieth

A few weeks ago, I wrote that the dirty little secret of Spieth’s schedule in Texas is that the AT&T Byron Nelson has always been more near and dear to his heart than the Charles Schwab.

The other part of that, of course, is that he’s fared much better at Colonial over the years, with a win in 2016, three runner-up finishes and seven top-10s in nine starts.

We don’t have to go back very far to realize Spieth can thrive one week after a major, having followed up a missed cut at last month’s Masters with a victory at the RBC Heritage the very next week.

DFS ‘Dog

A lower-priced option for DFS.

David Lipsky

The world is starting to realize that this man owns a lot of talent — but so are the books, which might make him a more attractive play in the DFS marketplace than betting. With a pair of top-10s in his past five starts, this should be a track that suits his precision game.


First-Round Leader

One player to post the low score Thursday.

Ryan Palmer (+5500 for FRL)

Fresh off a major championship, some players can be excused if they’re not quite grinding away at the practice range like usual. I don’t mind taking a chance on someone who knows this track better than anyone else.

Palmer is a member at Colonial and has played this event 18 times. With a first-round scoring average of 69.39 that includes a 62, a pair of 66s and a handful of other sub-70 scores, a home game might be the right recipe for finding a low Thursday round.


Matchup Man

One player who should beat comparable players.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3000)

With so much past data on so many players who have been competing at this one for years, it’s tough to invest in one who has no history whatsoever, but this feels like a course which should play to Fleetwood’s strengths.

Coming off a T5 last week, the Englishman should carry some momentum without it feeling like he’s already reached a peak. He’s also made the cut in eight consecutive starts, which offers plenty of value in H2H plays. 

Also Receiving Votes

Other players who should provide value.

Abraham Ancer (+3000), Billy Horschel (+4200), Webb Simpson (+4200), Davis Riley (+4200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+9500), Matthew NeSmith (+11000), Patton Kizzire (+11000), Joel Dahmen (+12000), Emiliano Grillo (+16000), Doc Redman (+25000)


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The Big Fade

One top player to avoid at this tournament.

Daniel Berger (+3700)

Don’t look now, but the man who won here two years ago — part of a lengthy, yet underrated run during which he was playing nearly as well as anyone in the world — hasn’t finished inside the top-20 in his past four starts, including a missed cut at Southern Hills where he was 13-over through two rounds. Granted, he lost a lot more strokes with the putter than the irons, but it’s tough to believe he’ll be ready to bounce back with a big one this week.

Then again, my favorite fades have fared well recently, so maybe you just let it all ride on DB Straight Vibin’ this week instead.

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