Lo Duca’s 2019 Belmont Stakes Power Rankings: Can Anyone Hang With Favorites Tacitus, War of Will?

Jun 08, 2019 06:00 PM EDT
Credit:

Dennis Schneidler, USA Today Sports.

  • The 2019 Belmont Stakes takes place on Saturday, June 8 at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC.
  • Paul Lo Duca shares his betting power rankings for the third leg of the Triple Crown:

The Triple Crown comes to a conclusion on Saturday and even though no horses are in the running to sweep all three legs, the Belmont Stakes should still be a terrific race, and best of all, there is some value in this 10-horse field.

Here are my power rankings for the 2019 Belmont Stakes, from the horse I think has the worst betting value to the best:

Power Ranking the 2019 Belmont Field

10. Everfast

Odds: 12-1
Post position: 2

A last-minute addition to the Preakness, Everfast shocked almost everyone with a runner-up finish in the Preakness behind War of Will at 30-1.

Those odds actually made the colt an underlay in the Preakness based on poor form entering the race, as he had lost his prior three races by a combined of 43 lengths, going off at odds of 60-1 or higher in all of them.

Prior to that streak, however, Everfast finished a fast-closing second in the Holy Bull at 128-1 odds, and in the Preakness he capitalized on a speedy early pace and a great ride by jockey Joel Rosario through the stretch to angle inside on the golden rail and edge Owendale for second, circling back to his best form.

The fact remains, however, that this son of Florida Derby winner Take Charge Indy hasn’t won since his debut last August at Ellis Park and deep closers haven’t had much success in the Belmont Stakes in recent years.

He figures to be a longshot once again on Saturday, and I think his ceiling could be 4th but I’m not a fan at all! I would throw him out.

9. Joevia

Odds: 30-1
Post position: 1

This son of 2-year-old champion Shanghai Bobby projects as a pace factor in the Belmont Stakes, but Joevia would have to improve leaps and bounds to even contend in this race.

He rebounded from a disastrous showing in the Wood Memorial to win the 1 1/16-mile Long Branch Stakes at Monmouth Park on May 12 in a good effort but he defeated only three horses — one of which lost his jockey — in that run.

In the Wood Memorial, Joevia crowded several opponents shortly after breaking from the far outside post in an aggressive bid for the early lead, tired badly after setting a contested pace, and was disqualified from seventh to last of 11.

He ran competitively in his three career starts before the Wood, winning his debut last summer and finishing second twice in listed stakes earlier this year after a long break, but he still appears overmatched against the best of his crop, especially in a long-distance race like the Belmont. No shot

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