2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Picks: BlackJack’s Favorite Trifecta, Superfecta Bets at Churchill Downs

May 04, 2019 05:32 PM EDT
Credit:

Mark Zerof, USA Today Sports.

  • The 2019 Kentucky Derby takes place on Saturday, May 4 at 6:50 p.m. ET on NBC.
  • Game Winner (5-1) is the favorite to win the Run for the Roses, but this is a wide-open race and playing exotics like Trifectas and Superfectas could provide a huge payday.
  • BlackJack Fletcher gives his favorite two exotic bets for the Derby.

The Kentucky Derby has not been kind to longshots. The betting favorite has won the last six Run for the Roses and, as my colleague John Ewing points out, playing the chalk has actually been a profitable strategy for the Derby.

The top choices will likely be involved in the finish this Saturday as well, but just because we have favorites at the top of our tickets doesn’t mean we can’t still have some fun with some longer shots in exotics to try and make a big score.

BlackJack’s 2019 Kentucky Derby Exotics Guide

Trifecta Box

I like No. 16 Game Winner (5-1) on top in this race. Without Omaha Beach, he is the class of the field.

Game Winner was the 2-year-old champion and had a brilliant campaign last year that culminated with a win the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs in November.

He lost twice this year, but you can argue he was more impressive in those runs than he was in his wins. He was nosed out by Omaha Beach in the Rebel Stakes on a sloppy track and then was barely beaten by Roadster at the Santa Anita Derby after an awful trip. I’m going to include him in all of my exotics.

I think there’s a lot of value with No. 8 Tacitus (10-1), who is coming off an impressive performance in the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct. Even though Tacitus has not faced stiff competition, he is the son of Tapit, one of the most accomplished sires in all the country. I think Tacitus is great value to hit the board.

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