Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2026

Diamondbacks at Mets

8:10 pm • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

16-13

7 - 2

New York Mets

10-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			6.53	0-4
R.Nelson			7.71	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 16-13	+1.5	+1.5-189	o7.5-105	+110
Mets 10-20	u7.5	-1.5+162	u7.5-115	-130

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 08, 2026

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -125

ARI +120

1.2u

NYM -130 (F5)

$1.30

ARI +118

0.3u

ARI +120

1.2u

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D.Peterson u4.5 Ks-159

1.59u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+109

1.09u

Need plus-money have projected close to 50/50

ARI +114

1.14u

ARI +115 (F5)

0.49u

Under 4 (F5)-105

0.53u

R.Nelson o16.5 Outs-106

0.5u

ARI +120

1.2u

R.Nelson u4.5 Hits Allowed+115

THE BAT X is forecasting 4.32 hits allowed for Ryne Nelson compared to 5.07 hits allowed implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 61% of the time, resulting in a 32% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $31.92. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

ARI +115 (F5)

1.15u

Analysis on Twitter vid @ Anderspicks

ARI +130

0.65u

Exchange. Bet to +115

Zerillo's Projection for Diamondbacks-Mets
Tanner McGrath•
Apr 8, 2026 UTC
Zerillo's Opening Pitch for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 8, 2026 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 6-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets' 17 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	10-20	4-13	6-7	6-16	4-4
Diamondbacks	20-9	9-6	11-3	6-4	13-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	12-16-2	7-8-2	5-8	9-11-2	3-5
Diamondbacks	17-11-1	9-6	8-5-1	5-5	11-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	10-20	6-11	4-9	8-14	2-6
Diamondbacks	16-13	9-6	7-7	6-4	9-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	ARI	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	NYM -154
Apr 5th	@SF	W 5-2	-	U 7.5	NYM +101
Apr 5th	@SF	W 9-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -101
Apr 4th	@SF	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -135
Apr 3rd	@SF	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8	SF -123

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Carl Edwards
RP
Edwards Jr. is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	86	5.2	5	1
RR.Thompson, P	3	0.1	0	0
RA.Hoffmann, P	33	2	2	1
RT.Clarke, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, DH	1-5	1	1
2C.Carroll, RF	3-5	1	2
3G.Perdomo, SS	1-2	0	1
4G.Moreno, C	0-4	0	1
5N.Arenado, 3B	0-5	0	0
6I.Vargas, 2B	3-4	2	0
7J.Fernandez, 1B	2-4	2	0
8T.Tawa, LF	0-2	0	0
9J.Barrosa, CF	1-3	1	2

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P		85	5	6	5
LS.Manaea, P		70	4	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0
2B.Bichette, 3B	2-4	1	0
3J.Polanco, DH	0-4	0	0
4L.Robert, CF	2-4	1	0
5B.Baty, RF	2-4	0	1
6M.Vientos, 1B	0-3	0	1
7M.Semien, 2B	0-4	0	0
8C.Benge, LF	1-4	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0