Astros vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 8, 2023

Astros at Orioles

11:05 pm • TBS

Houston Astros

0-0

7 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4
F.Valdez			3.46	12-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-0	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 0-0	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

August 08, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

$50.00

Over 0.5+105

HOU Astros @ BAL Orioles

$42.00

HOU o4.5+106

0.53u

BAL +110 (F5)

0.28u

BAL +110

0.25u

BAL +105

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+400

0.15u

Y.Alvarez o0.5 Runs Scored+105

0.42u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.5u

Wrote up a big Yordan day in my preview and Best Bets article

HOU -130

BAL +110

$1.00

BAL +116

0.5u

Bet to +105

BAL +112 (F5)

0.56u

Bet to +111

Featured Insight
The Astros have scored first in 56% of their games this season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB. The Orioles have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games this season -- fifth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 16-8 (.667) after a road loss this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .658 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .609 (1,370 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Anthony Santander is slugging .487 on breaking pitches since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Bryan Abreu has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- first Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (264/529) with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42
Astros	82-80	37-44	45-36	43-60	39-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2
Astros	72-83-7	36-43-2	36-40-5	45-56-2	25-27-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53
Astros	87-75	46-35	41-40	56-47	31-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 6th	NYM	W 2-0	-	-	-
Aug 5th	NYM	W 7-3	-	-	-
Aug 4th	NYM	W 10-3	-	-	-
Aug 3rd	@TOR	W 6-1	-	-	-
Aug 2nd	@TOR	L 1-4	-	-	-

Hayden Wesneski
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Wesneski is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	93	7	3	6
RR.Stanek, P	9	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	2	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	2-4	2	1	5
5Y.Diaz, DH	0-3	0	0	1
5Y.Diaz, C	0-3	0	0	1
6J.Abreu, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Pena, SS	3-4	0	0	1
8J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Singleton, PH	0-0	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	93	6	4	2
RM.Baumann, P	14	1	1	1
RY.Cano, P	18	1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	30	0.2	2	4
J.Krehbiel, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	1-3	2	1	2
2R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8J.McCann, C	1-2	1	0	2
8R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, CF	1-3	0	0	0