Astros vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2025

Astros at Pirates

10:40 pm • SCHN
8 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Mitch Keller logoM.KellerPittsburgh Pirates logo4.186-15
Framber Valdez logoF.ValdezHouston Astros logo3.6613-11

Astros at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros
0-2
-1.5
-1.5+120
o7.5+101
-141
Pirates
0-0
u7.5
+1.5-140
u7.5-120
+120
location pinThursday 10:40 p.m.
June 05, 2025
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Astros vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 135-121-6 (+8.6u)
PIT +138
0.5u
Bet to +125
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 20-16-2 (+6.1u)
Under 8-115
1.15u
Framber 19.9 K-BB% L5 - PIT 84/72 wRC+ Hm/vLHP, HOU 82/101
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +135
1u
Follow @PicksOffice on X. Framber's road ERA jumps to 4.14 – not the same guy outside Houston. Pirates just shut out the Astros, held them to .212 avg. Mitch Keller has a 3.43 ERA in night games – 5 quality starts in May, just no run support. Momentum shift favors PIT at home. Astros averaging 3.8 runs/game on the road – bottom-tier offense outside Minute Maid. Pirates’ bullpen dialed in – 2.89 ERA over last 3 games. Keller’s 2.50 ERA over his last 3 starts shows he’s keeping games tight. PNC Park = pitcher-friendly, helps suppress big innings. Pirates better at home (14-17) than road (9-22). Houston just 11-15 away. Back-to-back 3-0 games this series – PIT proven they can shut the door. .
Under 7.5+100
1u
Follow @PicksOffice on X. Back-to-back 3-0 finals to open the series. Total of just 6 runs in 2 games. Both offenses ice cold – and tonight lines up for another pitcher's duel. Under 7.5 is the sharp look. Pittsburgh’s bats rank dead last in MLB. Houston averages just 3.8 runs on the road. Valdez: 2.05 ERA over his last 3 starts, but 4.14 ERA away from home. Keller: 2.50 ERA over his last 3 with solid night-game splits (3.43 ERA). Bullpens both sharp – Pirates relievers post a 2.89 ERA over their last 3. PNC Park also suppresses scoring with its pitcher-friendly layout. Under is 11-3 in PIT's last 14 home games, 8-2 in HOU’s last 10 interleague, and 19-7 in PIT's last 26 overall.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 68-65-1 (-2.1u)
Under 7.5-114
1.14u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 73-83-4 (-24.5u)
PIT +135
3u
YBB SportsData
YBB SportsData
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -145
1u
SDQL SYSTEM (60-44 Record) #YourBestBet
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 60-67-2 (+4.4u)
Under 7.5+103
1u
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 116-102-4 (+10.1u)
HOU -145
1u
Fade dogs off a home shutout win Overall: 210-87-0,71% (ROI:22%) Season:9-3-0,75% (ROI:32%) away favs off a shutout Overall: 125-58-0,68% (ROI:18%) Season:8-1-0,89% (ROI:57%)
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -115 (Live)
0.43u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 96-94-2 (-7.7u)
HOU -149
0.67u
New Owner
New Owner
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
F.Valdez u5.5 Hits Allowed-132
1.29u
M.Keller u2.5 Earned Runs-105
1.4u

Astros vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • Zerillo's Opening Pitch For Thursday article feature image

    Zerillo's Opening Pitch For Thursday

    Sean Zerillo•
    Jun 5, 2025 UTC
See more MLB Coverage Right Arrow

Prop Odds Comparison

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

Loading props…

Line Movement Tracker

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

Astros vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Astros

Public

82%

Bets%

18%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
80-8239-4241-4038-4441-36
Astros
83-7939-4244-3730-3951-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
81-75-647-32-234-43-445-35-234-39-4
Astros
78-75-939-40-239-35-735-33-142-38-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
82-8044-3738-4347-3534-43
Astros
81-8139-4242-3935-3444-44

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 4thHOUW 3-0+1.5 WU 9PIT +110
Jun 3rdHOUL 0-3-1.5 LU 7HOU -162
Jun 1st@SDL 4-6+1.5 LO 8.5SD +127
Jun 1st@SDW 5-0+1.5 WU 7.5PIT +191
May 31st@SDL 2-3+1.5 WU 7.5SD +160
Astros vs. Pirates Box Score
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Framber Valdez logoLF.Valdez, P997112
Bryan Abreu logoRB.Abreu, P15130
Kaleb Ort logoRK.Ort, P18120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jeremy Pena logo1J.Pena, SS3-5201
Isaac Paredes logo2I.Paredes, 3B2-4223
Jose Altuve logo3J.Altuve, DH1-4001
Christian Walker logo4C.Walker, 1B1-4100
Yainer Diaz logo5Y.Diaz, C0-4000
Jake Meyers logo6J.Meyers, CF0-3100
Cam Smith logo7C.Smith, RF1-4101
Jacob Melton logo8J.Melton, LF2-4102
Mauricio Dubon logo9M.Dubon, 2B0-4000
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Mitch Keller logoRM.Keller, P896.156
Kyle Nicolas logoRK.Nicolas, P191.210
Ryan Borucki logoLR.Borucki, P20112
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF1-4002
Andrew McCutchen logo2A.McCutchen, DH0-4000
Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, RF0-3000
Nick Gonzales logo4N.Gonzales, 2B0-4000
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo5K.Hayes, 3B1-4000
Tommy Pham logo6T.Pham, LF0-2000
Henry Davis logo7H.Davis, C0-4000
Jared Triolo logo8J.Triolo, 1B2-2200
Spencer Horwitz logo8S.Horwitz, PH0-1000
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-4000

Astros vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

Right Arrow

Could not load odds

Astros at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Astros
0-2
N/A
N/A
Pirates
0-0
N/A
N/A