Astros vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2025
Astros at Royals
11:40 pm • SCHNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.77 | 8-6 | |
 |  | 4.50 | 1-3 |
Astros at Royals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros 69-56 | -1.5 | -1.5+147 | o8-105 | -115 |
Royals 64-61 | u8 | +1.5-175 | u8-115 | -104 |
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Astros vs. Royals Expert Picks
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 78-99-4 (-18.9u)
Y.Alvarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
1u
YBB SportsData
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-4.2u)
Under 8-115
0.5u
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 130-129-0 (-16.6u)
HOU -115
1.5u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 87-82-2 (+10.0u)
Under 8-115
0.87u
Pitcher’s duel brewing at the K: Wesneski – 3.50 ERA, 0.83 WHIP last 3 starts. Lugo limits damage – 36.4% GB rate, 14.7° launch angle allowed. Royals hitting just .204 vs righties, 2.81 runs/game overall.
Houston’s bullpen nails – 2.05 ERA last 3 games, 2.68 on the season. KC’s pen shaky overall, but Erceg + Lynch (sub-1.10 ERAs) can keep it close if Lugo settles in. Both lineups chase pitches, lack consistent power.
Unders cashing like clockwork – 20-7-3 in Astros' last 30 road games. Royals 20-6-1 to the Under as a dog. 5 of last 7 H2Hs stayed below the number. With soft offenses, sharp pens, and two contact-managing starters, 8 runs feels generous.
HOU -115
1u
Royals need perfection. Astros don’t. Houston lineup crushes RHP – .770 OPS (7th), 78% of runs off righties. KC’s bullpen: 4.08 ERA (18th), vulnerable late. Astros pen: 2.86 ERA (2nd), 10.3 K/9. Add experience edge, and Houston's built for tight, low-scoring wins.
Astros rotation 3.67 ERA (6th). Royals lineup vs RHP: .684 OPS (27th), weak contact, low OBP. Kauffman suppresses HRs – favors teams that grind runs. Astros force mistakes, KC doesn’t capitalize enough. Big edge in depth.
Houston doesn’t need fireworks. Altuve, Tucker, Alvarez all .840+ OPS vs RHP. Astros 9th in Runs/Hit ratio, efficient offense. Royals can’t match that situational execution. Close game favors discipline, not chaos.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 129-135-10 (-10.1u)
C.Walker o0.5 HR+680
0.2u
S.Lugo o4.5 Ks+120
3.12u
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
J.Pena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 129-135-10 (-10.1u)
Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+120
1.2u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 62-68-2 (-5.7u)
HOU -1.5+150
1u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 28-101-3 (+5.0u)
Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+450
0.5u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC +100
1u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 70-81-2 (-28.2u)
Under 8.5-116
1u
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 3-2-0 (+0.8u)
Y.Alvarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
1.1u
-2+ HRRs in 3/L3 Games
-.332 xBA since 4/9 despite .256 actual BA (unlucky)
-4 for 8 with 2 XBHs vs Seth Lugo
-Lugo ranks 36th percentile xERA, 29th percentile xBA
Astros vs. Royals Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Astros vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Royals are 36-26 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Royals' 63 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Royals Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Jake MeyersCF
Meyers is out with calf
Out
- Luis GarciaSP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
- Pedro LeonRF
Leon is out with knee
Out
- J.P. FranceSP
France is out with shoulder
Out
- Hayden WesneskiRP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Royals Injuries
- Kyle WrightSP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out
Astros vs. Royals Box Score
Astros Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 80 | 5 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Royals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 94 | 8 | 8 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Astros vs. Royals Odds Comparison
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Astros at Royals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Astros 69-56 | o3.5-147 | u3.5+115 |
Royals 64-61 | o3.5-122 | u3.5-105 |