Braves vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2026

Braves at Mariners

1:40 am • BravesVsn

Atlanta Braves

30-13

3 - 2

Seattle Mariners

21-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Kirby			2.84	5-2
B.Elder			1.81	4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 30-13	+1.5	+1.5-181	o8-104	+113
Mariners 21-23	u7.5	-1.5+150	u8-115	-133

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

May 06, 2026

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

G.Kirby o5.5 Ks+114

ATL +120

1.2u

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Atlanta is 25-11 against Seattle's 17-19, and the price is leaning too hard into the Braves' 3-7 last 10. Bryce Elder is the cleaner starter profile with a 1.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and only 2 homers allowed in 43 innings. Kirby is solid, but a 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP is not enough separation to tax Atlanta this aggressively.

Under 4 (F5)+100

1.5u

Under 7.5+100

$10.00

O.Albies o0.5 HR+725

0.25u

@gneiffer07 ⭐️ https://myaction.app/JSRRLRwFT2b

Under 8-110

0.45u

@Zerillo ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/JSRRLRwFT2b

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

ATL +115

D.Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases+103

$1.00

G.Kirby o5.5 Hits Allowed+125

0.63u

#EV 6.29%

O.Albies o0.5 HR+680

0.25u

ATL +122

$1.22

#NOTE No Ronald

Under 8-110

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-118)

ATL +130

0.65u

(FD) Let’s not kid ourselves. George Kirby is still the superior pitcher, but Elder actually has the slightly higher K-BB% this year with both pitchers owning very similar estimators. The Braves have a 128/125 wRC+ on the road and vs RHP with Seattle at 118/110. Yes, Acuna is out, but he wasn’t hitting the snot out of the ball anyway. Harris, who was, may also be out. Raleigh is hurting and missed last night. So both teams have key players not at 100%. Then, with Raleigh and Harris both projected in, the ATL proj. LU has a 15 FRV edge over SEA. On a team wide level ATL is 21 Runs Prevented ahead. They may also be getting Raisel Iglesias back and their bullpen already has better estimators over the last month by one-third of a run. (Wouldn’t play below +120.)

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 7-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Mariners' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	16-28	9-14	7-14	15-26	1-2
Braves	30-13	13-7	17-6	22-9	8-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	18-24-2	11-11-1	7-13-1	18-21-2	0-3
Braves	18-22-3	5-13-2	13-9-1	15-13-3	3-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	21-23	12-11	9-12	20-21	1-2
Braves	30-13	14-6	16-7	23-8	7-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	ATL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	SEA -141
May 3rd	KC	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	KC -115
May 3rd	KC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -142
May 2nd	KC	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	KC -139
Apr 29th	@MIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -135

Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	93	6	9	2
LD.Lee, P	16	1	3	0
RR.Suarez, P	16	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Baldwin, C	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3M.Olson, 1B	2-3	2	1	1
4M.Harris, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4E.White, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Dubon, CF	2-3	0	0	2
6A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Smith, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Yastrzemski, RF	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	88	7	5	2
LJ.Ferrer, P	10	1	2	0
RA.Munoz, P	23	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-4	1	1	2
2C.Raleigh, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-3	0	0	0
5R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6L.Raley, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Canzone, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7C.Young, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Garver, C	0-2	1	0	0
9L.Rivas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0