Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Braves at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN2

Atlanta Braves

48-30

1 - 5

Washington Nationals

41-39

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 48-30	-1.5-105	o8-101	-170
Nationals 41-39	+1.5-115	u8-118	+142

Wednesday 10:45 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

ATL -0.5 (F5)-114

1.14u

late add - tailing @CamIsMoney18 (again)

ATL -0.5 (F5)-114

ATL -170

2.01u

Braves are #1 in Strikeouts and #1 in fewest runs allowed.

M.Fried u18.5 Outs-105

0.5u

Over 7.5-117

0.5u

Flat to 8 (-108)

WSH +148

2.22u

Fried 3.75 SIERA/3.70 xERA, Irvin 4.16/4.26 - WSH 96/88 wRC+ Hm/v LHP, ATL 86/93 - WSH much better defense and base running. Will take bullpen deficit for better price than F5.

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The Nationals are just 17-63 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

Jacob Young has an OPS of just .653 this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .611 (610 PAs) this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (189/555) when he's behind in the count this season -- tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% -- 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 51% (118/233) against Jake Irvin this season -- 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 87th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 29-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Nationals' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	47-33	18-22	29-11	5-6	42-27
Braves	43-35	19-19	24-16	33-25	10-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	48-29-3	27-11-2	21-18-1	9-2	39-27-3
Braves	38-34-6	13-21-4	25-13-2	31-22-5	7-12-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	41-39	17-23	24-16	6-5	35-34
Braves	48-30	24-14	24-16	38-20	10-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	ATL	L 0-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL +120
Sep 8th	@PIT	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT +132
Sep 7th	@PIT	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +124
Sep 7th	@PIT	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH +110
Sep 5th	@PIT	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	PIT +105

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	94	6	6	4
RD.Hernandez, P	40	1.2	3	1
LA.Bummer, P	4	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	2-4	1	0
2J.Soler, RF	2-3	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0
5O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
6R.Laureano, LF	1-4	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0
8C.Biggio, 2B	0-3	0	0
9G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	84	6	5	1
RD.Law, P	17	1	1	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	16	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-4	2	1	1
2D.Crews, RF	2-4	0	0	1
3A.Chaparro, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Wood, LF	2-4	0	0	1
5J.Yepez, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6J.Tena, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	2-4	0	0	1
8I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-2	1	0	0