Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2022

Braves at Nationals

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-0

2 - 3

Washington Nationals

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5-127	o8.5-112	-215
Nationals 0-0	+1.5+110	u8.5-107	+180

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

September 28, 2022

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH +1.5+108

0.54u

ATL -1.5-127

1.27u

J. Gray u5.5 Ks-136

0.74u

Available at FanDuel. Gray is working in a sinker more recently in order to combat the batted-ball issues he has had. In this seven-start stretch, his strikeout rate is down to 17.6%, and he has exceeded 5 strikeouts just once. He is at home, and he gets a decent bump there, but he's also facing a powerful Braves offense. There are multiple paths to an under here. I have Gray projected for 4.43 strikeouts.

WSH +190

0.95u

Wynn. Bet to +170

WSH +170 (F5)

0.85u

MGM. Bet to +156

Best Bets From Wednesday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Sep 28, 2022 UTC
Action Labs Loves These 2 Strikeout Props
Tanner McGrath•
Sep 28, 2022 UTC
PRO Signals Buzzing on 2 NL East Showdowns
Avery Zimmerman•
Sep 28, 2022 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 107-81 (.569) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .884 this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed an OPS of .826 (627 PAs) this season -- eighth worst among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Michael Harris is slugging .536 this season -- tied for seventh best among hitters with at least 229 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed a SLG of .597 vs left-handed batters this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- first Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (772/1,713) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 385.0 feet -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	ATL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL +180
Sep 26th	ATL	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL +210
Sep 25th	@MIA	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	WSH +150
Sep 24th	@MIA	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 6.5	MIA +180
Sep 23rd	@MIA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	MIA +123

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Odorizzi, P	68	3.2	0	1
RJ.Chavez, P	14	1.1	0	0
LD.Lee, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	18	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	6	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Stephens, P	16	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-5	1	0	0
3M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	2-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, DH	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Contreras, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9W.Contreras, DH	1-2	0	0	0
9G. Heredia, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9G. Heredia, DH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	85	6	2	1
RH.Harvey, P	15	1	2	0
RC.Edwards, P	22	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	21	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	0-4	1	0
2C.Abrams, SS	3-5	1	1
3J.Meneses, 1B	0-4	0	0
4L. Voit, DH	1-3	0	2
5L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0
6I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0
7A.Call, LF	1-4	1	0
8V.Robles, CF	0-3	0	0
9R.Adams, C	0-2	0	0
9C. Hernández, PH	0-0	0	0