Braves vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 24, 2023
Braves at Reds
8:10 pm • BSOHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.76 | 7-9 | |
 |  | 5.81 | 4-3 |
Braves at Reds Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 54-40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Reds 43-51 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Braves vs. Reds Expert Picks
Anders
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+4.0u)
Over 12-115
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 12-14-1 (-4.5u)
CIN +110
2u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
G. Ashcraft o2.5 Earned Runs-150
$66.67
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 238-309-20 (-54.7u)
E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases-105
$1.05
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 135-135-7 (-4.0u)
E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases-105
0.26u
Bet to -110
Anders
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+4.0u)
CIN +129
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 12.5-115
1.15u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 12.5-111
1u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 144-167-15 (+4.8u)
M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-120
0.42u
E.Rosario o1.5 Total Bases+120
0.5u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL -140
1.43u
Anders
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+4.0u)
S.Steer o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 135-135-7 (-4.0u)
CIN +130
0.5u
Bet to +114
CIN +106 (F5)
0.5u
+120 at MGM. Bet to +102
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 13-26-1 (-4.2u)
Under 11.5-105
1.05u
CIN +132
0.5u
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 96-116-4 (-14.7u)
CIN +135
1u
Shuster 6.24 SIERA/4.94 xERA, Ashcraft 5.01/5.41 - ATL has the obvious off edge - Both defenses -8 Runs Prevented - ATL has the far better pen, but I believe this only adds up to a much smaller favorite on the road. Also believe the Reds are now better than their 99 wRC+ on the seaosn v RHP.
Braves vs. Reds Notes
Keys to the Game
The Braves are 149-88 (.629) since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 26-21 (.553) after a road loss since last season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Reds are 15-26 (.366) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Matchup Contrasts
Spencer Steer has struck out in just 12% of PA's over the last 30 days -- tied for 13th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Jared Shuster has a strikeout rate of just 7% vs right-handed batters over the last 30 days -- lowest among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP-- 0 Percentile.
Austin Riley is slugging .500 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Graham Ashcraft has allowed a SLG of .515 vs right-handed batters since last season -- seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP-- fifth Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (959/1,323) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- 100th Percentile.
Jared Shuster has walked 22 of 175 batters (13%) this season -- 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- fourth Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 8.22 (73.1 IP) against division opponents since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 -- 0 Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Reds are 26-19 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 49 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Reds vs. Braves Injury Updates
Reds Injuries
Braves Injuries
- Joey WentzRP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
- Spencer SchwellenbachSP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
- AJ Smith-ShawverSP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Braves vs. Reds Box Score
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 73 | 3.2 | 2 | 4 | |
 | 43 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 14 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Braves vs. Reds Odds Comparison
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Braves at Reds Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 54-40 | N/A | N/A |
Reds 43-51 | N/A | N/A |