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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 10, 2026

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0
3
3 - 1

San Diego Padres

3-3
1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Griffin Canning logoG.CanningSan Diego Padres logo5.685-9
Merrill Kelly logoM.KellyArizona Diamondbacks logo4.9410-14

Diamondbacks at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-188
o9-116
+109
Padres
3-3
u8.5
-1.5+158
u9-104
-130
location pinFriday 1:40 a.m.
July 10, 2026
Petco ParkSan Diego
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Expert Picks
Tyler Shoemaker
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 28-31-0 (-0.6u)
Over 8.5-119
1.19u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 22-22-3 (+3.4u)
SD -115 (F5)
0.58u
(B365) So Kelly up nearly 2mph last start, 2 runs over 6 innings, tied a season high w/ 6 Ks. also 64.7 HardHit% with 4+ Barrels for the 5th time. He's allowed 43 Barrels (14.5%) and has a 7.77 xERA. His estimators are nearly 3/4 run worse than Canning. SDP LU 23 point wRC+ edge v ARI LU v RHP this year, 45 point edge L30 days.
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 256-235-3 (+34.8u)
F.Tatis o2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+125
$1.00
https://discord.gg/DSGgpzJ5x
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 119-117-4 (+28.3u)
C.Carroll o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-116
1.16u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 163-154-10 (+15.1u)
G.Canning u2.5 Earned Runs-150
1u
Under 5 (F5)-118
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 108-102-0 (-9.2u)
SD -125
1.25u
SD o4.5+100
1u
F.Tatis o0.5 HR+337
0.1u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 90-77-0 (+12.0u)
SD o4.5+105
1u
SD o0.5+180
1.35u
G.Sheets o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-103
1.03u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 102-97-2 (-6.8u)
SD -125
1u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 273-252-4 (+15.0u)
Under 9-114
1.32u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 117-216-1 (+10.4u)
K.Marte o0.5 HR+400
0.1u
C.Carroll o0.5 HR+400
0.1u
Kev Mahserejian
Kev Mahserejian
Last 30d: 14-19-0 (-1.0u)
SD -125
1u

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Diamondbacks

Public

Home Logo

Padres

24%

Bets%

76%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Padres are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Padres' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres		91-7145-3646-3540-4151-29
Diamondbacks		84-7844-3740-4134-4148-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres		76-82-437-41-339-41-136-41-439-41
Diamondbacks		71-87-436-43-235-44-233-40-236-47-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres		91-7151-3040-4151-3040-40
Diamondbacks		86-7645-3641-4043-3241-44

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 9thARIW 10-4-1.5 WO 8.5SD -142
Jul 8thARIW 4-1-2.5 WU 9SD -120
Jul 7thARIL 0-8-1.5 LU 8.5ARI -128
Jul 5th@LADW 5-2+1.5 WU 10SD +188
Jul 5th@LADL 0-3+1.5 LU 8.5LAD +227

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Blake Walston
    SP

    Walston is out with elbow

    Out

  • Cristian Mena
    SP

    Mena is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

Padres Injuries

  • Joe Musgrove
    SP

    Musgrove is out with elbow

    Out

  • Gavin Sheets
    1B

    Gavin Sheets (neck) has been scratched Tuesday.

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Merrill Kelly logoRM.Kelly, P94761
Kevin Ginkel logoRK.Ginkel, P16110
Paul Sewald logoRP.Sewald, P10120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Ketel Marte logo1K.Marte, 2B0-4000
Geraldo Perdomo logo2G.Perdomo, SS2-4001
Corbin Carroll logo3C.Carroll, RF1-3000
Gabriel Moreno logo4G.Moreno, C1-4000
Max Kepler logo5M.Kepler, DH1-4100
Lourdes Gurriel logo6L.Gurriel, LF1-4000
Jorge Barrosa logo6J.Barrosa, CF0-0000
Nolan Arenado logo7N.Arenado, 3B1-4111
Tommy Troy logo8T.Troy, CF1-3100
Tommy Troy logo8T.Troy, LF1-3100
Tim Tawa logo9T.Tawa, 1B0-2000
Ildemaro Vargas logo9I.Vargas, 1B0-1000
Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Griffin Canning logoRG.Canning, P744.252
Yuki Matsui logoLY.Matsui, P28101
Bradgley Rodriguez logoRB.Rodriguez, P171.120
Wandy Peralta logoLW.Peralta, P18110
Adrian Morejon logoLA.Morejon, P11120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Fernando Tatis logo1F.Tatis, RF1-4000
Jackson Merrill logo2J.Merrill, CF0-4000
Xander Bogaerts logo3X.Bogaerts, SS0-4000
Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B2-3111
Gavin Sheets logo5G.Sheets, LF0-2000
Jake Cronenworth logo6J.Cronenworth, 1B0-3000
Luis Campusano logo7L.Campusano, C0-1000
Miguel Andujar logo8M.Andujar, DH0-3000
Sung Mun Song logo9S.Song, 2B0-3000

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
0-0
N/A
N/A
Padres
3-3
N/A
N/A