Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Miami has been struggling offensively, managing just two wins in their last eight games and reflecting those struggles even more so at home with a poor 29-47 record. Their inability to produce runs has been a key issue, and this won’t be helped by the Dodgers' strong bullpen, which boasts a stellar ERA of 3.02, one of the best in the league. The Miami bullpen also has not been too shoddy, allowing only a 3.43 ERA in the last three games, which further cements the case for a lower-scoring game. On the mound, both Ryan Weathers and Landon Knack proffer solid starting options that like to keep runs at a premium. Weathers has a 3.77 ERA and a 2.47 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio, which indicates he's inducing a number of ground balls that naturally limit big extra-base hits and potential run-scoring opportunities. His 1.14 WHIP shows good control over base runners, limiting the chances for big innings. Meanwhile, Knack with an equally productive ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.09, and a ground ball-to-fly ball ratio of 0.95 proves that he controls the game just as well, keeping runners off base and remaining stingy in allowing the Miami offense-scoring chances. His .276 opponent OBP is indicative of his ability to suppress baserunners, and coupled with decent numbers from Weathers, the setup is there for a pitching duel. Umpire Adam Beck tugs the momentum even more in the Under's direction, as his 64.4 percent strike rate makes life on pitchers. Games worked by Beck are typically low-scoring affairs because of a lack of walks and an abundance of strikeouts, which plays out perfectly with two starters who already do a great job of maintaining control. Finally, the wind will be blowing in from center, which will knock down would-be home runs or deep extra-base hits and help to keep run production lower across the board.

Sandy

Bet to 9 (-120) or 8.5 (+100)

Knack 4.00 SIERA/4.04 xERA, Weathers 3.81/4.07 - only place Dodgers blow Miami out is lineup wise - MIA pen estimators nearly a run better L30 days too