Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2024

Guardians at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

2 - 6

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5+105	o8.5-107	+220
Braves 0-0	-1.5-125	u8.5-113	-270

Friday 11:20 p.m.

April 26, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL -1.5-130

2.31u

CLE +222

ATL -235

T.d'Arnaud o1.5 Total Bases+131

CLE +1.5-115

0.58u

ATL -190

0.53u

Superbook. Bet to -205

ATL -196 (F5)

0.51u

Bet to -240

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 71% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 26% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% this season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Guardians this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Josh Naylor is batting .385 on breaking pitches this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 34 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Chris Sale has thrown his slider 43% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strike rate of 71% (263/370) this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (31 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .372 -- second Percentile.

4 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162
Apr 20th	TEX	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -142

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Michael Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Edward Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	91	4.2	5	4
RT.Beede, P	34	1.1	2	1
RP.Avila, P	35	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Freeman, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Freeman, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Fry, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	1
6R.Laureano, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Florial, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Florial, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	95	7	6	1
RP.Johnson, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Matzek, P	13	0.1	1	1
LA.Minter, P	13	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	0	2
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	1
9A.Duvall, LF	1-4	0	0	0