Marlins vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2025

Marlins at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Miami Marlins

25-41

3 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

28-41

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.15	1-9
S.Alcantara			7.14	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 25-41	-1.5	+1.5-170	o8-110	+124
Pirates 28-41	u8	-1.5+143	u8-110	-150

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 10, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

M.Keller u2.5 Earned Runs-130

0.5u

Projections do have Keller closer to 3 earned runs so this is a rare time I’m going to dive into a bet without projections on my side. The Marlins’ implied run total dropped from 4 to 3.8 after the lineup was released without Connor Norby and Liam Hicks in there. Miami has averaged 4.05 runs per game this season so I’m going to target them given they are projected below their season average. Keller is coming off two poor performances but still holds a 4.13 ERA and 3.93 xERA. He has a long leash which actually isn’t ideal as they let him work through trouble, but he’s holding a career-low walk rate (6.2%) and HR/9 ratio (0.59), which I like. Going to bank on him keeping Miami off the board enough in this matchup.

PIT -150

0.75u

PIT -147

1.47u

PIT -134

1.5u

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+440

1.1u

S.Alcantara o2.5 BB+220

0.25u

PIT o4.5+115

0.5u

PIT o4.5+115

MIA +120

MIA +115 (F5)

MIA +120

2.4u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

DK line, wouldn't take anywhere else. Don't love trusting Sandy right now but this is a good price on two very bad offenses

MIA +115 (F5)

1.15u

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks-112

S.Alcantara o1.5 BB-150

1.25u

May add ladder when those lines drop

MIA +118

3.54u

4 Home Run Prop Bets & Parlay for Tuesday
Grant Neiffer•
Jun 10, 2025 UTC
2 MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Tuesday
Billy Ward•
Jun 10, 2025 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 13-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Pirates' 38 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	33-36	20-18	13-18	6-15	26-21
Marlins	34-32	16-18	18-14	2-7	31-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	25-39-5	15-20-3	10-19-2	7-14	17-25-5
Marlins	35-31	17-17	18-14	4-5	30-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	28-41	19-19	9-22	8-13	19-28
Marlins	25-41	14-20	11-21	4-5	21-34

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	MIA	W 10-3	-	O 8	PIT +100
Jun 8th	PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 6.5	PIT -120
Jun 7th	PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +121
Jun 6th	PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +110
Jun 5th	HOU	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU +120

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	85	6	6	0
RA.Bender, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Henriquez, P	19	1	1	2
RC.Faucher, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Wagaman, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
7D.Myers, CF	2-4	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-4	1	1	2
9J.Sanoja, 3B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	97	6	4	3
LR.Borucki, P	8	1	0	0
RI.Mattson, P	21	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Horwitz, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Triolo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Frazier, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7H.Davis, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	0	0	0