Mets vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 14, 2024
Mets at Dodgers
8:08 pm • FOXStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 5.00 | 1-1 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.74 | 2-1 |
Mets at Dodgers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Mets 2-4 | +1.5 | +1.5-166 | o8.5-102 | +130 |
![]() Dodgers 4-2 | u8.5 | -1.5+140 | u8.5-118 | -155 |

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles
Mets vs. Dodgers Expert Picks

Chase Holden
119d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LAD +4.5 (Live)+120
1.2u

Shady Biev
119d ago
Last 30d: 165-185-7 (+11.6u)
LAD +114 (Live)
2u

The Degenerates
119d ago
Last 30d: 79-82-5 (-12.9u)
NYM +120
1.2u

Steak Friend
119d ago
Last 30d: 284-248-5 (+59.5u)
NYM +125
1.25u

Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
119d ago
Last 30d: 15-26-1 (-6.4u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-108
0.46u
S.Manaea u4.5 Ks+114
0.5u

Austin Pendergrass
119d ago
Last 30d: 86-126-1 (-23.3u)
LAD -142
1u

💰🦡 Jake
119d ago
Last 30d: 97-123-2 (-2.9u)
Over 8.5+100
1u

Sandy Plashkes
119d ago
Last 30d: 103-102-9 (+6.4u)
LAD o4.5 Team Total+105
1u

Cam Is Money
119d ago
Last 30d: 205-146-11 (+39.0u)
M.Betts o0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-150
1.33u

PvB Bets
119d ago
Last 30d: 30-15-3 (+10.8u)
S.Manaea u5.5 Ks-150
1u
S. Manaea ⬇️ 5.5 K's (-155 @ Fliff/365)
THE BAT X 📽️: 4.39 K's
Let's start by taking a look at how the starters vs LAD have faired through game 1 and the Padres series:
NYM - Senga: 1.1 IP, 0 K's
SDP - Darvish: 6.2, 4 K's
SDP - Cease: 1.2, 1 K
SDP - King: 5 IP, 3 K's
SDP - Darvish: 7 IP, 3 K's
SDP - Cease: 3.1 IP, 5 K's
So not one starter they have seen thus far has cleared this mark. Meanwhile, LAD ranks 22nd in K-rate vs LHP over the last 30 days. Manaea saw LAD earlier this season (4/19) and registered just 3 K's over 5 innings. Manaea has pretty large K splits at home vs on the road. He K's 28.3% at home, but only 21.6% on the road. Unsurprisingly, Manaea K's more lefties than righties, so let's look at the lefties he'll face today:
**_K-rate vs LHP_**
Ohtani: 23.3% 🟢
Freeman: 15.2% 🟢
Muncy: 28.9% 🟡
So he'll likely only face 3 lefties today and 2 of the 3 are bad matchups for Manaea. Against this current LAD roster, Manaea only holds a 19.4% K-rate over the course of his career. Add into the fact that there may be a shorter leash, especially if he struggles, and there is more urgency to win game 2 for NYM after dropping game 1. I like this spot a lot!

Moneyline Hacks
119d ago
Last 30d: 86-39-3 (+81.7u)
K.Hernandez o0.5 RBI+320
1u
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Ray Monohan
119d ago
Last 30d: 11-18-0 (-6.3u)
NYM +120
0.9u

Sandy Plashkes
119d ago
Last 30d: 103-102-9 (+6.4u)
M.Betts o1.5 Total Bases+125
1u

Cam Is Money
119d ago
Last 30d: 205-146-11 (+39.0u)
M.Betts o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
1u

Boomer Betz
119d ago
Last 30d: 114-86-3 (+44.4u)
Under 8.5-115
1.5u

Sean Zerillo
119d ago
Last 30d: 52-58-1 (+0.6u)
Under 8.5-110
0.83u
Bet to 8 (-102)

Prop Bet Guy
119d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
S.Manaea u5.5 Ks-150
1.5u
Only a 21.6% K% on the road, and now gets a Dodgers team that K’ed at the second lowest rate vs lefties at home this season. Plus, Dodgers with a great history off Manaea, who won’t have a long leash down 0-1 already.

Sean Zerillo
119d ago
Last 30d: 52-58-1 (+0.6u)
NYM +125
0.63u
Bet to +122
Mets vs. Dodgers Previews & Analysis
Mets vs. Dodgers Notes
Keys to the Game
The Dodgers are 96-53 (.644) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Matchup Contrasts
Will Smith has struck out in just 8% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 11th lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Sean Manaea has a strikeout rate of just 17% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest among qualified SPs-- ninth Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Ryan Brasier has a strike rate of 70% (610/876) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 97th Percentile.
Ryan Brasier allowed a just .282 SLG last season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .481 in the 2022 season -- eighth worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mets vs. Dodgers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Dodgers vs. Mets Injury Updates

Dodgers Injuries
- Dustin MayP
May is out with elbow
Out
- Tony GonsolinP
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Gavin StoneP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
- Emmet SheehanP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Mets Injuries
- Paul BlackburnP
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
- Ronny MauricioIF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
- Christian ScottP
Scott is out with elbow
Out
Mets vs. Dodgers Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 87 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |
![]() | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 26 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 29 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
![]() | 55 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 57 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Mets at Dodgers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Mets 2-4 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |
![]() Dodgers 4-2 | o4.5+100 | u4.5-130 |