Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 1, 2023

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Philadelphia Phillies

9-19

3 - 1

Miami Marlins

13-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12
R.Suarez			4.18	4-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 9-19	N/A	N/A	N/A
Marlins 13-16	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

August 01, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

Over 7.5-119

1.19u

MIA -130

$1.30

PHI +115 (F5)

MIA o3.5-135

0.68u

MIA 118 wRC+ v LHP - Suarez estimators average around his 4.22 ERA & worse over the last month - PHI pen estimators L30 days average slightly more than that - PHI also below average defense

MIA -130

0.45u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-134

0.5u

MIA -135 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -136

MIA -130

0.65u

Need -130

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The Phillies are just 24-41 (.369) after a road loss since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Nick Castellanos is slugging just .204 over the last two weeks -- 13th worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Sandy Alcantara has allowed a SLG of just .250 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

31% of Bryson Stott strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 49% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (1,936/3,178) against right-handed batters since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (146/237) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 5-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Marlins' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	12-17	7-9	5-8	8-9	4-8
Phillies	5-23	2-13	3-10	4-16	1-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	18-9-2	8-8	10-1-2	9-8	9-1-2
Phillies	14-12-2	8-6-1	6-6-1	11-8-1	3-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	13-16	10-6	3-10	11-6	2-10
Phillies	9-19	5-10	4-9	8-12	1-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 31st	PHI	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jul 30th	DET	W 8-6	-	-	-
Jul 29th	DET	L 0-5	-	-	-
Jul 28th	DET	W 6-5	-	-	-
Jul 26th	@TB	W 7-1	-	-	-

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	81	6.1	3	1
RY.Marte, P	14	0.2	0	0
LG.Soto, P	13	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-2	0	0	0
1J.Cave, PR	0-0	1	0	0
1J.Cave, DH	0-0	1	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	1	2
5B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P		101	8	5	0
RD.Robertson, P		24	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, LF	2-4	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	2-4	0	1
5J.Sanchez, CF	1-3	0	0
5G.Hampson, CF	0-0	0	0
6J.Berti, 3B	1-4	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	2-3	0	0
8J.Wendle, SS	0-4	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	0-3	0	0