Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2023

Reds at Padres

1:40 am • BSSD

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

3 - 8

San Diego Padres

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	+1.5-110	o8.5-115	+176
Padres 1-2	-1.5-110	u8.5-105	-210

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

May 02, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 8.5-105

L.Weaver o4.5 Ks-135

1.35u

Weaver has been able to generate a 15% swinging strike rate so the strikeouts should continue. He’s been able to get elite whiff rates on his two main pitches: fastball (37%) and changeup (59%). His curveball has been awful and the sooner he replaces that with his cutter as his 3rd pitch, the better. The Padres are a tough team to K, but after 2 games at 7400’ above sea level, Weaver’s stuff might be a bit tougher to hit as they adjust back. HP ump Paul Emmel has a pretty big strike zone as well. Projecting this closer to -170

Under 8.5-106

1.06u

Over 8.5-113

CIN +190

0.5u

Need +190 or better, same price at Wynn

CIN +1.5-105

0.53u

B.Snell o6.5 Ks-112

0.89u

CIN +185

0.54u

Under 5.5 (F5)-133

1.2u

-142 on FD

CIN +180

1.1u

The Reds are just 3-10 (.231) on the road this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Xander Bogaerts has an OPS of .846 since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .875 (225 PAs) since last season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Manny Machado has an OPS of .858 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .875 (225 PAs) since last season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	SF	W 6-4	-1.5 W	U 19.5	SD -152
Apr 29th	SF	W 16-11	-1.5 W	O 15.5	SD -199
Apr 27th	@CHC	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -174
Apr 26th	@CHC	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -110
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -106

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	79	4.1	3	4
LA.Young, P	19	0.2	1	2
RC.Legumina, P	19	2	3	0
LR.Sanmartin, P	36	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
3S.Fairchild, LF	1-3	0	0	2
3J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Fraley, LF	0-1	0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5H. Ramos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Newman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6K.Newman, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Senzel, CF	3-4	1	1	1
7N.Senzel, 3B	3-4	1	1	1
8J.Barrero, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Casali, C	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	2-2	1	0	0
9T.Friedl, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Friedl, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	101	6	7	3
RS.Wilson, P	12	1	2	0
RD. Tapia, P	26	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
3J.Soto, LF	2-4	0	0	2
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	1	0	0
5M.Carpenter, DH	1-3	1	0	0
5N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5N. Cruz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
7H.Kim, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
8T.Grisham, CF	3-4	1	0	1
9B.Sullivan, C	1-3	1	0	0