Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 18, 2024
Reds at Pirates
10:40 pm • BSOHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  |  | 4.43 | 8-9 | |
|  |  | 4.76 | 9-6 | 
Reds at Pirates Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
| MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  Reds0-2 | -1.5+131 | o8-115 | -120 | |
|  Pirates 0-0 | +1.5-157 | u8-105 | +100 | |

PNC ParkPittsburgh
Reds vs. Pirates Expert Picks

The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN -125
1u

Chase Holden
Last 30d: 2-9-0 (-4.7u)
Over 8.5+100
1u

Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN -128
1u
CIN -1.5+125
1u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 79-105-5 (-0.1u)
Under 8+100
0.5u
Bet to -102

The Degenerates
Last 30d: 56-59-1 (-7.1u)
CIN -125
1u

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 50-33-0 (+9.1u)
B.Falter u4.5 Ks-140
1u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 67-79-3 (-8.9u)
N.Lodolo u6.5 Ks-122
1.22u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 79-105-5 (-0.1u)
PIT +120
0.5u
Bet to +115
PRO Insights

Reds
CIN Insights
- Featured Insight Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% this season -- fourth highest in MLB.
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Pirates
PIT Insights
- Featured Insight Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB. Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.
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Reds vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis
Reds vs. Pirates Notes
Keys to the Game
The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .333 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- tied for eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 31% of the time  since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 92 total CB-- 94th Percentile.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .330 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 31% of the time  since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 157 total CB-- 93rd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (12/82) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (235/729) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (427/1,019) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Reds vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Pirates are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Pirates' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pirates vs. Reds Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries
- Johan OviedoSPOviedo is questionable with elbow Questionable 
- Endy Rodriguez1BRodriguez is out with elbow Out 
- Jared JonesSPJones is out with elbow Out 

Reds Injuries
- Noelvi Marte3BMarte is day-to-day with side Day-to-Day 
- Reiver SanmartinRPSanmartin is out with elbow Out 
- Brandon WilliamsonSPWilliamson is out for season with elbow Out for Season 
- Graham AshcraftRPAshcraft is out with groin Out 
- Chase BurnsSPBurns is out with hip Out 
- Julian AguiarSPAguiar is out for season with elbow Out for Season 
- Rhett LowderSPLowder is out with elbow Out 
- Carson SpiersRPSpiers is out with shoulder Out 
Reds vs. Pirates Box Score
 Reds Player Stats
Reds Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 95 | 7 | 8 | 1 | |
|  | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
|  | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
 Pirates Player Stats
Pirates Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 80 | 7 | 3 | 2 | |
|  | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
|  | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 
|  | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Reds vs. Pirates Odds Comparison
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Reds at Pirates Team Totals
| MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
|  Reds0-2 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-135 | 
|  Pirates 0-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-106 | 





