Tigers vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Tigers at Rays

10:50 pm • BSSUN

Detroit Tigers

8-13

4 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

8-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8
K.Maeda			6.09	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 8-13	+1.5-155	o8+102	+138
Rays 8-17	-1.5+125	u8-115	-164

Tuesday 10:50 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 1.5 (F5)-115

0.48u

CORRECTING F5 TIGERS TT U - didn’t enter it in properly and it’s not letting me edit.

Under 8-117

0.85u

TB -0.5 (F5)-120

$1.20

TB -1-120

1.2u

Under 8-110

R.Pepiot u6.5 Ks-110

0.91u

Under 8-115

0.5u

R.Pepiot u6.5 Ks+100

0.5u

Ballpark pal project 5.74 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -128 giving value to this number

TB -150 (F5)

1.5u

Pepiot's estimators are more than two runs better. Maeda's fastball is non-competitive at this point. A 28 point edge in Stuff+ to Pepiot. A 13 pt edge in wRC+ v RHP to TB too. DET pen estimators are a full run better though, so F5.

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Tigers RPs with RISP over the last week -- tied for third best in MLB. The Rays are batting just .164 with RISP over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB. The Tigers have scored first in just 44% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Rays are 81-3 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Spencer Torkelson has an OPS of just .695 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .543 (493 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (64/181) against Ryan Pepiot this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (39/105) against Ryan Pepiot this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .853 (29 Total Bases / 34 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .383 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	73-89	35-46	38-43	29-46	43-41
Tigers	73-89	41-40	32-49	49-64	24-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	71-81-10	36-41-4	35-40-6	32-37-6	38-42-4
Tigers	83-72-7	41-35-5	42-37-2	58-49-6	24-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	77-85	41-40	36-45	42-33	34-50
Tigers	87-75	46-35	41-40	64-49	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 22nd	DET	L 1-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -111
Apr 21st	@NYY	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8	NYY +110
Apr 20th	@NYY	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 9	TB +105
Apr 19th	@NYY	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYY +153
Apr 18th	LAA	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -143

Taylor Walls
SS
Walls is out with groin
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	88	5	5	0
RA.Faedo, P	28	2	1	2
RA.Lange, P	20	1	1	0
RJ.Foley, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	2-3	2	2	3
2W.Perez, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Canha, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
4K.Carpenter, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5Z.McKinstry, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5B.Kennedy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5B.Kennedy, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Baez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Keith, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8P.Meadows, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	80	6	4	1
RP.Maton, P	18	1	1	0
LC.Poche, P	13	1	0	3
RK.Kelly, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
2R.Palacios, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2R.Palacios, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Rosario, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Siri, CF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	1	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
6H.Ramirez, DH	2-4	0	0	0
7B.Rortvedt, C	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Mead, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Shenton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Caballero, SS	0-4	0	0	0