DET @ KC
11:40 pm • BSKCStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.75 | 7-7 | |
 |  | 4.23 | 2-6 |
Tigers vs. Royals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigers 51-53 | -1.5+155 | o9-102 | -104 | |
Royals 56-47 | +1.5-185 | u9-118 | -115 | |
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
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Tigers vs. Royals Game Analysis
Tigers vs. Royals Notes
Keys to the Game
The Tigers are just 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
42% of Maikel Garcia strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among hitters with at least 552 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 43% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .639 since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .547 (446 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .315 vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)-- fourth Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among non-qualified SPs)-- 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Casey Mize -- 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- 96th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (13 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .391 -- third Percentile.
Tigers vs. Royals Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Royals are 25-23 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Royals' 55 last games at home
Tigers vs. Royals Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Royals vs. Tigers Injury Updates
Royals Injuries
Kyle Wright
PWright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Tigers Injuries
Mark Canha
IFCanha is day-to-day with hip
Day-to-Day
Casey Mize
PMize is out with hamstring
Out
Riley Greene
OFGreene is out with hamstring
Out
Kerry Carpenter
OFCarpenter is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
PGipson-Long is out with groin
Out
Tigers vs. Royals Box Score
Tigers Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC.Mize, P | 52 | 1.2 | 2 | 6 | |
| LT.Holton, P | 36 | 3.1 | 2 | 2 | |
| RJ.Foley, P | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| LJ.Wentz, P | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1R.Greene, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2M.Canha, DH | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3W.Perez, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4K.Carpenter, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5M.Vierling, 3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 6C.Keith, 2B | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7S.Torkelson, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8Z.McKinstry, SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8A.Ibanez, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8A.Ibanez, SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9C.Kelly, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Royals Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RA.Marsh, P | 94 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |
| LA.Zerpa, P | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| LS.Long, P | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RN.Anderson, P | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M.Garcia, 3B | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2B.Witt, SS | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2G.Hampson, SS | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3V.Pasquantino, 1B | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4S.Perez, C | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5M.Massey, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6A.Frazier, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7M.Melendez, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8H.Renfroe, RF | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 9K.Isbel, CF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Tigers vs. Royals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Tigers 51-53 | N/A | N/A |
Royals 56-47 | N/A | N/A |