The Boston Red Sox host the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 19, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
Find my MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (54c, Polymarket)
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Polymarket MLB Odds
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| Brandon Pfaadt (RHP, ARI) | Stat | Payton Tolle (RHP, BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | W-L | 8-6 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.1 |
| 3.11 / 3.58 | ERA / xERA | 2.97 / 2.71 |
| 3.79 / 4.34 | FIP / xFIP | 3.21 / 3.60 |
| 9.8% | K-BB% | 21.0% |
| 49.0% | GB% | 36.7% |
| .259 | BABIP | .273 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 114 |
| 103 | Location+ | 99 |
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox MLB Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects some value on the Under in this game — he projects just 7.34 runs for the total.
If you'd like to dive deeper into this matchup, I reccomend checking out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball betting tool giving PRO subscribers access to all the live data he uses to project MLB games each day.
This is an excellent pitching matchup between Brandon Pfaadt and Payton Tolle, so I'm excited to bet the Under in this one.
Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (54c, Polymarket)
