MLB Odds & Picks for Astros vs. Yankees: Will New York Bounce Back on Sunday?
Gavin Napier/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo.
- The Astros are looking for a series win, while the Yankees are hoping for a split in New York.
- Houston threw a combined no-hitter against the Yankees on Saturday, but our expert expects the Yankees to respond big on Sunday.
- Jules Posner breaks down the matchup and shares his best bet below.
Astros vs. Yankees Odds
|Time||1:35 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
The New York Yankees look to earn a series split against the Houston Astros after getting no hit in on Saturday afternoon.
The American League superpowers have delivered so far in what could be an ALCS preview. The Houston Astros look to hand the Yankees their second series loss of the season with a victory on Sunday.
The Astros will have a tough road ahead facing AL Cy Young contender, Nestor Cortes. Meanwhile, Jose Urquidy is tasked with trying to clinch the four game series victory on the hill for Houston.
Houston Astros: Will Urquidy Find Road Success?
For as good as the Yankees have been, the Astros seem to have come to New York prepared for the test. Already achieving at least a series split with the combined no-hit win on Saturday, the Astros look to make a statement on Sunday.
Jose Urquidy will get the start for the Astros and he has been roughed up in 38 and 2/3 innings this season. He’s been hit around for a 6.28 ERA and a 4.90 FIP in eight road starts. He’s also struggled over his past five starts, posting a 5.33 ERA and a 5.38 FIP.
The Astros offense is also a below average unit on the road against lefties over the past month. They have a 96 team wRC+ against lefties on the road over that time frame, which is 18th in MLB.
Interestingly enough, it seems the Astros’ right-handed hitters are the ones struggling the most. Over the past month the Astros’ right-handed hitters only have a 42 wRC+, which is 28th in MLB. Their left-handed hitters have a 200 wRC+, the best mark in MLB.
New York Yankees: Expect Bats to Bounce Back
The Yankees’ no-hit loss on Saturday is obviously an anomaly, right? The Yankees offense has been excellent pretty much all year, but they do seem to produce a little bit less at home for whatever reason.
The Yankees have the best offense this season on the road in terms of team wRC+ and they are fourth in team wRC+ at home. So, yes, technically they are worse at home, but they’re still really good.
Nestor Cortes will get the start in the series finale and he’s been lights out at home this season. He’s posted a 1.53 ERA and a 2.50 FIP at home in 2022.
If the Astros think it’s best to stack right-handed hitters against Cortes, that may end up being a mistake considering how the Astros’ right-handed hitters have performed on the road — especially against lefties.
The Astros bullpen seems to have bounced back from their meltdown in Thursday night’s series opener. However, this game seems like it’s going to come down to starting pitching and the Yankees have a clear edge in that department.
The under does have some appeal in this game, but so does the over. The Astros moneyline in plus money is tough to sell considering how they’ve performed against lefties on the road and the prospect of a rough Urquidy road start.
The Yankees’ runline is at +120 right now and that seems like a really good value considering it’s the 2022 Yankees. Although this match up is tough to call, the Yankees runline seems to have the best value and the numbers support the Yankees.
Pick: NYY RL +120
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