The Los Angeles Angels (31-34) host the Athletics (26-42) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA and FanDuel Sports West.
Denzel Clarke stole the show with the best catch of the year in the A's-Angels series opener, but it was the Halos who prevailed. What can we expect from the middle game of this AL West tilt?
Find my Athletics vs Angels prediction and F5 pick for Tuesday night below.
Athletics vs Angels Prediction, F5 Pick
- Athletics vs Angels pick: First Five Innings Under 5; Bet to Under 4.5 (+100) | Play to -110
My Athletics vs Angels best bet is the First Five Innings Under 5 or 4.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
A's vs Angels Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 9 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 +122 | 9 -110o / -110u | -165 |
Athletics vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Mitch Spence (A's) | Stat | RHP Jose Soriano (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 4-5 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 4.09 / 4.68 | ERA /xERA | 4.11 / 4.18 |
| 3.91 / 3.84 | FIP / xFIP | 3.79 / 3.91 |
| 1.27 | WHIP | 1.59 |
| 13.8% | K-BB% | 4.7% |
| 43.8% | GB% | 65.8% |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 98 | Location+ | 110 |
Kenny Ducey’s Athletics vs Angels Preview, Prediction
Athletics Betting Preview: Surprising Spence
It's often unfair to judge a starting pitcher just a year into their career, even if they're an older rookie, and that may be the case with Mitch Spence.
The right-hander debuted last year at 26 years old to a fine — yet lackluster — 4.58 ERA and 4.14 Expected ERA (xERA) in 151 1/3 innings, and while his xERA has risen this season there have been some noticeable improvements of late.
First off, Spence is running some solid chase and whiff rates that have taken his strikeout rate up 2.3 percentage points to 21.7%, a number which should continue to climb. He's still running a solid 7.9% walk rate and hasn't deviated from his balanced profile of ground balls and fly balls.
The ball has come off the bat a bit harder in 2025, but in a short sample this month, Spence's xSLG has come back down after spiking a bit due to some rough appearances out of the bullpen in early May. He pitched a season-high five innings last time out against the Minnesota Twins, allowing just one run on a solo shot with four strikeouts and a walk.
By no means am I fully in on Spence, but it's worth noting that it was his first time starting a game this season and he did look a lot more competent than his appearances out of the bullpen.
He'll also face an Angels team that does slug pretty well, representing a slightly scary matchup, but one which has struck out a ton this year and is running a 24.4% punchout rate over the last two weeks to a weak 6.8% walk rate.
Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview: Inconsistent Soriano
On the Angels side of things, we'll be treated to another ground-ball festival with Jose Soriano toeing the slab.
The righty is running a 66.7% ground-ball rate, which is one of the highest in the league — and the only issue is that his infield defense has been abysmal, ranking in the bottom half of the league in Outs Above Average this year and posting a -5 OAA this month to sit 29th of 30 teams.
Soriano's .271 Expected Batting Average tells the tale of a pitcher who's been happy to pound the zone and give up some hard-hit grounders, though his 11.7% walk rate suggests that he hasn't fully embodied what it means to pitch to contact.
That's certainly a wart on his profile, though when it's all said and done, he's come home with a 4.18 xERA thanks to his ground-balling ways. He's still well below the league average in Expected Slugging thanks to his ability to keep the ball out of the air, and it's just a consistent barrage of hits and walks that will really do him in.
The interesting thing here is that Soriano's not necessarily getting all that lucky; he's stranded 71.8% of baserunners, which is right in line with his roughly 71% strand rate in the last two years. Down on the farm, he's posted similarly-high strand rates, which have helped him overcome the walks that have troubled him for years.
So, I do think there's a decent chance for Soriano to keep up the production. The unfortunate news is that the Athletics rank eighth in the league against ground-ballers with a .748 OPS, but they're sitting in fifth against fly-ballers which would technically make this a good matchup.
Athletics vs Angels Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Athletics have certainly continued to hit the ball well, carrying the eighth-ranked offense by wRC+ over the last two weeks into this game, and with a 27.3% strikeout rate they'll certainly be excited to see a pitcher whose game isn't tailored around the swing and miss.
This is a team that is still hitting just .251 in the last two weeks, however, and owns a .329 BABIP which would suggest a downturn is in the cards pretty soon. The Athletics aren't exactly a free-swinging bunch, but they do tend to rely on their power bats and don't enjoy facing a pitcher like Soriano who knows how to pitch against teams which rely on contact — which is what we've got here.
I'm a bit scared by how poor this defense has been, but it's not enough to shy me away from shorting this very high total.
Spence isn't my favorite pitcher, but with his near-elite chase and whiff rates he should navigate this undisciplined Angels offense and help us win in a low-scoring game through five.
Pick: First Five Innings Under 5; Bet to Under 4.5 (+100)
Moneyline
I have no bet on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I have no bet for the run line.
Over/Under
My bet for this game is the F5 under 4.5 runs.
