The Seattle Mariners host the Baltimore Orioles on June 16, 2026. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SEAM.
The Mariners are favored by -155 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +127 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Mariners prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction
- Orioles vs Mariners Pick: Brandon Young Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-116, DraftKings)
My Orioles vs Mariners best bet is on Young to record under 4.5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Mariners Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +140 | 7.5 -107o / -112u | +127 |
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -170 | 7.5 -107o / -112u | -155 |
- Orioles vs Mariners moneyline: Orioles +127, Mariners -155
- Orioles vs Mariners over/under: 7.5 (-107o / -112u)
- Orioles vs Mariners spread: Mariners -1.5 (+140 ), Orioles +1.5 (-170)
Orioles vs Mariners Probable Pitchers
| Brandon Young | Stat | Logan Gilbert |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | W-L | 4-4 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1 |
| 3.04 / 4.40 | ERA / xERA | 3.62 / 4.10 |
| 4.06 / 4.64 | FIP / xFIP | 4.03 / 3.69 |
| 9.6 | K-BB% | 19.6 |
| 40.3 | GB% | 34.4 |
| .263 | BABIP | .266 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 106 | Location+ | 105 |
Orioles vs Mariners MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Orioles starter Brandon Young for 3.56 strikeouts in tonight’s matchup against the Mariners, giving us a sizable 20% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to tag the Under with a B grade in our system.
Orioles vs Mariners Pick, Betting Analysis
Young has recorded 42 strikeouts this season, but his recent results suggest this line may be a bit too ambitious. Over his last five starts, he has stayed under 4.5 strikeouts twice, finishing with four and three punchouts in those outings. Looking at a larger sample, he has gone under the number in four of his last 10 starts.
The projection model is even more bearish, forecasting him for just 3.56 strikeouts tonight and creating one of the biggest edges on the board.
While Young has flashed the ability to miss bats at times, he has generally relied more on pitching to contact than piling up strikeouts. That profile leaves little margin for error when facing a lineup capable of forcing long at-bats and driving up pitch counts.
Reaching five strikeouts would likely require him to work deep into the game while maintaining above-average swing-and-miss stuff throughout, something he has not done consistently this season.
Pick: Brandon Young Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-116, DraftKings)
