Brewers vs. Cardinals MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Corbin Burnes Loaded Lineup in St. Louis (Wednesday, September 14)
Justin Berl/Getty Images. Pictured: Albert Pujols
- The Brewers are slight road favorites in tonight's matchup with the Cardinals.
- Milwaukee has ace Corbin Burnes on the mound, while St. Louis will counter with Adam Wainwright.
- Continue reading for a full breakdown of this matchup, including a betting pick.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds
|Time||7:45 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
The Brewers were able to beat the Cardinals Tuesday night, but Milwaukee still tails St. Louis by seven games in the National League Central division.
Milwaukee also trails San Diego by two games for the third wild-card spot in the National League entering play Wednesday, so every game matters for the Brewers the rest of the way — though FanGraphs gives them only a two percent chance of winning the division and a 25% chance to make the playoffs at all.
Who will get the job done and ultimately take home the victory in this one?
Wainwright, Cardinals Tough at Home
Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright has a 3.33 ERA and 4.44 xFIP on the season, but he’s been dynamite at home. Wainwright has a 2.65 ERA at home this season.
The Cardinals are also 47-25 (.653 WP) at home overall this season. Milwaukee is 13th in all of baseball averaging 4.49 runs per game on the road this season.
Willy Adames and Hunter Renfroe are the big power hitters on the Brewers for Wainwright to worry about as each have an ISO above .240 against right-handed pitching this season.
Wainwright has allowed just a .133 ISO to right-handed hitters, though.
Can Burnes Stop St. Louis Bats?
The Brewers will have defending National League Cy Young award winner and ace pitcher Corbin Burnes on the mound.
Burnes has a 2.93 ERA and a 3.36 xFIP this year. He has a 2.73 ERA on the road this season. St. Louis is fifth in all of baseball averaging 4.92 runs per game at home this year.
Everyone knows the big power in the Cardinals lineup comes from Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, but Lars Nootbaar also has an ISO above .220 against right-handed pitching this season. Burnes has allowed a .149 ISO to right-handed batters and a .143 ISO to left-handed batters.
Burnes has defeated the Cardinals twice already in three starts this year and is coming off one of his best starts of the season as he struck out 14 batters in his last game.
Burnes is a great pitcher, but I’m on the Cardinals here. St. Louis has grabbed hold of this division since the trade deadline and hasn’t looked back.
This game means a lot more to the Brewers as it relates to their dwindling playoff hopes, but the Cardinals have been a well-oiled machine at home this year and Wainwright has been a big part of that with a sub-3.00 ERA at home.
I took the Cardinals moneyline at +105 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Pick: Cardinals ML +105