Brewers vs Twins Odds, Picks | MLB Prediction
David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Bailey Ober #17 of the Minnesota Twins
- The Minnesota Twins look for a clean 2-0 sweep when they host the Milwaukee Brewers in matinee action today.
- The Twins took the first game of the mini-series, and now Bailey Ober takes the mound at home.
- Below, Tony Sartori breaks down the matchup and explains why he's targeting Ober's strikeout total for a bet.
Brewers vs. Twins Odds
Minnesota won the first game of this series 7-5. Will the Twins pull off the mini-sweep, or can Milwaukee pull off the upset on the road?
Here's a look at the odds, as well as my Brewers vs. Twins betting pick and prediction.
The Milwaukee Brewers have taken advantage of playing in a weak NL Central, which is why they sit in second place with a 34-33 record.
However, this is an extremely untrustworthy club moving forward, especially considering their woes at the plate.
This season, Milwaukee ranks in the bottom six of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, SLG and OPS. Simply put, this lineup is terrible, and it also struggles in the strikeout department.
Currently, the Brewers rank 24th in the league in K% when facing right-handed pitching. Looking at Wednesday's projected starting lineup, seven of the nine hitters possess a K% north of 23% this year.
Slated to take the mound for the Minnesota Twins in this contest is right-hander Bailey Ober. Putting together a tremendous campaign thus far, Ober boasts a 2.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP through nine starts.
Not only is Ober likely to put together another strong outing, but he should be an excellent candidate to back in the strikeout department. Boasting a four-pitch arsenal, the right-hander does an excellent job pumping his fastball and then getting hitters to chase his off-speed pitches.
Currently, Ober ranks in the 91st percentile in Chase Rate. Additionally, he ranks in the 53rd percentile or higher in both K% and Whiff%.
Utilizing this ability, Ober has racked up at least six strikeouts in six of his past eight starts.
Brewers vs. Twins Betting Pick
This strikeout trend is likely to continue against Milwaukee. Outside of Owen Miller, not a single member of the Brewers has previously faced Ober, so it may take this lineup a few rotations through the batting order to figure him out.
That should be more than enough time for Ober to rack up at least six strikeouts. While you have to lay a bit of juice on this number, I think the value is still there as long as it stays south of -170.
I think there is also some value in taking the Over at 6 if you do not want to lay that juice, but I would not take the over at 6.5.