The New York Yankees host the Chicago White Sox on September 24, 2025. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on CHSN.
The Yankees won the series opener 3-2 and will have Max Fried on the hill tonight against the White Sox.
Find my MLB betting preview and White Sox vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
- White Sox vs Yankees pick: Under 8 (-105)
My White Sox vs Yankees best bet is Under 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
White Sox vs Yankees Odds
White Sox Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +140 | 8 -115o / -105u | +290 |
Yankees Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -160 | 8 -115o / -105u | -380 |
White Sox vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Fraser Ellard (CHW) | Stat | LHP Max Fried (NYY) |
---|---|---|
0-2 | W-L | 18-5 |
0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.5 |
4.50 / 5.42 | ERA / xERA | 2.92 / 3.49 |
4.65 / 4.89 | FIP / xFIP | 3.12 / 3.41 |
1.50 | WHIP | 1.11 |
5.9 | K-BB% | 17.2 |
41.9 | GB% | 52.5 |
100 | Stuff+ | 111 |
88 | Location+ | 102 |
White Sox vs Yankees Preview
Max Fried is finishing the season strong. The Yankees starter is coming off a seven-inning scoreless outing against the Orioles, in which he struck out 13 batters and gave up just three hits.
Fried has a 2.84 ERA across his last seven starts, and his home split bodes well for this contest, as he holds a 2.46 ERA at Yankee Stadium.
The White Sox have one of the worst offenses this year, ranking 27th in wRC+ (88).
The first game of this series already hit the under with just five runs total, and our Bet Labs system has a weather angle that recommends going for it again.
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has also subtly corrected, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29. These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 8 (-105, bet365)