The Los Angeles Angels host the Cincinnati Reds on August 18, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSOH.
The Reds and Angels will open up a three-game Interleague series Monday with Brady Singer (4.31 ERA, 125 and 1/3 IP) set to face off against Victor Mederos (5.63 ERA, 8 IP). Cincinnati enters this series sitting 1.5 games back of the New York Mets for the final Wildcard spot, and is a slight betting favorite in Monday's opener at the time of writing.
Find my MLB betting preview and Reds vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
- Reds vs Angels picks: Under 9 Runs +100 (Bet365, Play to -110)
My Reds vs Angels best bet is Under 9 Runs +100. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Angels Odds
Reds Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 9 -123o / 101u | -115 |
Angels Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -171 | 9 -123o / 101u | -106 |
Reds vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Brady Singer (CIN) | Stat | RHP Victor Mederos (LAA) |
---|---|---|
10-9 | W-L | 0-0 |
2.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
4.31/4.29 | ERA /xERA | 5.63/5.47 |
4.01/4.31 | FIP / xFIP | 6.37/5.88 |
1.31 | WHIP | 1.50 |
13.3% | K-BB% | 0.0% |
36.7% | GB% | 47.4% |
95 | Stuff+ | 96 |
99 | Location+ | 73 |
Nick Martin’s Reds vs Angels Preview
While the Reds have played to a modest record of 10-10 throughout their last 20 matchups, it has been enough to gain some ground on the Mets and remain in the mix for a surprising playoff berth. They have poor results offensively throughout those 20 games with a 28th-ranked offensive wRC+ of 80, but have received strong pitching with a team ERA of 3.53.
The Reds' offense has not been overly effective versus right-handed pitching recently, either, as since July 1st, they rank 27th in wRC+ versus RHP and have slugged just .378. They also rank 26th in hard-hit rate versus righties during that span. Throughout the entirety of the season, Cincinnati holds the third-lowest expected weighted on-base average in baseball.
After finishing with an ERA of 3.71 and an xFIP of 3.62 across 179 and 2/3 innings of work last season with the Kansas City Royals, Singer's first season with the Reds has been slightly disappointing, as he's pitched to an ERA of 4.31 and an xFIP of 4.31.
Throughout five starts since the All-Star break, Singer has remained comparably effective where it counts, pitching to an ERA of 4.26; however, his underlying results have improved considerably during that span, and he was highly effective in four of those five outings. In his last five starts, Singer holds an xFIP of 3.84 and has struck out 25.7% of batters while reducing his hard-hit rate to 29.9%.
Since July 1st, Reds' relievers have pitched to an ERA of 3.59 and allowed the second-lowest hard-hit rate in baseball.
Victor Mederos will be making his second start since being recalled on August 13th, with the team hoping the young righty can upgrade the fifth spot in the rotation, which Jack Kochanowicz previously occupied. Though his final stat line was not overly strong on Wednesday versus the Dodgers (3 ER in 4 IP), Mederos's performance inspired some positivity as he allowed only three hits versus one of the top lineups in baseball.
Mederos adjusted his arm slot to 24 degrees during spring training in an effort to get more movement on his breaking pitches and has added a sweeper to his pitch mix. In 16 starts in Triple-A this season, he has pitched to an ERA of 3.39, and it seems logical for the Angels to give the 24-year-old the opportunity to gain some big league experience as a result.
The Angels have been league average offensively over the last 30 days, hitting to a wRC+ of 100, but have struck out more often than any other team in baseball during that span and rank 24th in hard-hit rate. Since the All-Star break, they hold a wRC+ of 95 versus right-handed pitching and have struck out at the highest rate in baseball by a wide margin (27.7%).
Reds vs Angels Prediction, Betting Analysis
While this is not exactly a pitching matchup that will have bettors lining up to bet the under, a total of 9 with even money to the under seems too high given the shaky play of these two offenses recently.
Singer has trended into better form recently and appears to be closer to the starter that offered a high level of play in 2024 and gets a good matchup versus an Angels side striking out at the highest rate in baseball versus righties recently. The Reds' bullpen has also been in solid form and should have a good chance of locking things down once Singer exits the game.
Projecting Mederos is a little more difficult, but he showed relatively well versus the Dodgers last week aside from allowing a two-run homer to Dalton Rushing, and he gets a drastically easier matchup Monday versus a mediocre Reds lineup.
At +100, there looks to be value in betting this game to feature under 9 runs, and I would bet it down to -110.
Pick: Under 9 Runs +100 (Bet365, Play to -110)
Moneyline
There does not appear to be value in betting either side to win this matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
There does not appear to be value in betting either side to cover the run-line in this matchup.
Over/Under
As outlined, backing the game to go under 9 runs is my favorite play from this matchup.