The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds on August 25, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSOH.
Both teams will be well motivated when the Reds and Dodgers open up an important three-game set Monday evening. The Reds enter the series just 1.5 games back of the New York Mets for the final NL Wildcard spot, while the Dodgers and San Diego Padres are tied at 74-57 in the battle for the division title.
The Reds will have a pitching advantage to start Monday's game, as Hunter Greene (2.63 ERA, 72 IP) will face off against Emmet Sheehan (4.17 ERA, 41 IP).
Find my MLB betting preview and Reds vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Reds vs Dodgers Prediction
- Reds vs Dodgers pick: Under 8 (-110, play to -125)
My Reds vs Dodgers best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Dodgers Odds, Spread, Best Bet
| Cincinnati Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -171 | 8 -106o / -112u | +119 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +143 | 8 -106o / -112u | -145 |
Reds vs Dodgers Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-171); Dodgers -1.5 (+143)
Reds vs Dodgers Totals: 8 (O -106 / U -112)
Reds vs Dodgers Moneyline: Reds +119; Dodgers -145
Reds vs Dodgers Best Bet: Under 8
Reds vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Hunter Greene (CIN) | Stat | RHP Emmet Sheehan (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 2.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 2.63/2.75 | ERA /xERA | 4.17/3.72 |
| 3.06/3.16 | FIP / xFIP | 3.65/3.96 |
| 0.93 | WHIP | 1.24 |
| 27.2% | K-BB% | 17.0% |
| 28.2% | GB% | 31.3% |
| 125 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 101 | Location+ | 101 |
Nick Martin’s Reds vs Dodgers Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview: Greene Brings the Heat
This matchup will mark Greene's third start since suffering a groin injury on June 3. His first two outings since returning should certainly alleviate any concerns of a lingering injury, as Greene allowed only three earned runs across 12 innings of work and struck out 13.14 batters per nine. Greene's pitch metrics from those two outings were also tremendous, as he held a Stuff+ of 123 and a Pitching+ of 131.
Greene has displayed improved command this season, walking only 4.9% of batters and recording an elite strikeout minus walk rate of 27.2%. He's thrown first-pitch strikes 72.7% of the time and fared well working while ahead in the count with a chase rate of 34.4%.
Cincinnati's bullpen has been a strength recently, as over the last 30 days, it has pitched to an ERA of 3.99 and owns an ERA of 3.85 throughout the entirety of the season.
The Reds have done well to hang around in the playoff chase despite unproductive results at the plate recently. Since July 1st, Cincinnati holds a 28th-ranked wRC+ of 87 and holds the third-lowest hard-hit rate in MLB during that span. They have been slightly more effective versus right-handed pitching in that span, with a 26th-ranked wRC+ of 92.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Sheehan Seeks Consistency
Sheehan will be looking to bounce back after a pair of unconvincing outings in this matchup, as he allowed five earned runs during the Dodgers' ugly series at Angel Stadium before allowing four earned runs in six innings of work at Coors Field last Tuesday.
Sheehan has struggled to find consistency this season but does appear to be a slightly better pitcher than his 4.17 ERA suggests but has managed to strand baserunners only 61.4% of the time. He holds an xERA of 3.72 and an xFIP of 3.96 this season and owns a strikeout minus walk rate of 17%.
Sheehan's pitch metrics are also strong, as he holds a Stuff+ of 102 and a Pitching+ of 106 this season.
Relative to the high expectations placed upon baseball's most expensive roster, the Dodgers lineup has been in disappointing form of late, ranking 18th in wRC+ since July 1st. They have struck out at the seventh-highest rate in baseball in that span and rank 17th in on-base percentage.
Max Muncy remains on the IL after a brief return to the lineup but is expected to return in the near future. Tommy Edman also remains sidelined with an ankle injury.
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Greene has continued to display improved command over elite stuff this season, and by throwing fewer meatballs and walking fewer batters, he has become one of the game's truly elite pitchers. He's been sharp in both matchups since coming off the IL and could be poised for another strong outing as he takes on a fun challenge pitching at Dodger Stadium.
Sheehan appears to be pitching at a higher level than his ERA suggests and gets a good spot pitching at home versus a Reds lineup that has been highly unproductive of late.
Considering the Reds' lethargic results at the plate and a sneaky tough matchup versus Sheehan, as well as Greene's overall level of dominance, a total of 8 runs appears to be too high for this matchup. At -125 or better, I see value in betting this game to feature under eight runs.
Pick: Under 8 (-110 Fanatics; play to -125)
Moneyline
There does not appear to be value in betting either side at the current prices.
Run Line (Spread)
There does not appear to be value in betting either side to cover the run-line at the current prices.
Over/Under
As outlined, betting under 8 runs is my favorite play from this matchup.
Reds vs Dodgers Betting Trends
